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Numerical simulations of precipitation in the complex terrain of Iceland - Comparison with glaciological and hydrological data

Roegnvaldsson, Olafur ; Jonsdottir, Jona Finndis LU and Olafsson, Haraldur (2007) In Meteorologische Zeitschrift 16(1). p.71-85
Abstract
Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period September 1987 through June 2003, using the PSU/NCAR MM5 mesoscale model driven by initial and boundary data from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The simulated precipitation is compared with two types of indirect precipitation observations. Firstly, snow accumulation on two large ice caps in SE-Iceland and on two large glaciers in central Iceland. Secondly, model output is used as input to the WaSiM-ETH hydrological model to calculate and compare the runoff with observed runoff from six watersheds in Iceland for the water years 1987-2002. Model precipitation compares favourably with both types of validation data. The seasonal and inter-annual... (More)
Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period September 1987 through June 2003, using the PSU/NCAR MM5 mesoscale model driven by initial and boundary data from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The simulated precipitation is compared with two types of indirect precipitation observations. Firstly, snow accumulation on two large ice caps in SE-Iceland and on two large glaciers in central Iceland. Secondly, model output is used as input to the WaSiM-ETH hydrological model to calculate and compare the runoff with observed runoff from six watersheds in Iceland for the water years 1987-2002. Model precipitation compares favourably with both types of validation data. The seasonal and inter-annual variability of precipitation is investigated at low as well as high altitudes. The simulations reveal a negative trend in the winter precipitation in W-Iceland, but a positive trend in the ratio of lowland precipitation to mountain precipitation in E-Iceland. There is in general a substantial inter-annual variability in the ratio of lowland precipitation to precipitation in the mountains, especially in E-Iceland, emphasizing the limitation of precipitation observations in the lowlands as a proxy for precipitation in the mountains. In order to assess the impact of orography on the precipitation climate of Iceland, precipitation is simulated with flat Iceland and compared to a simulation with true orography. It is found that the mountains contribute to a total increase of precipitation in Iceland of the order of 40 %. (Less)
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author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Meteorologische Zeitschrift
volume
16
issue
1
pages
71 - 85
publisher
E Schweizerbartsche Verlags
external identifiers
  • wos:000248132600009
  • scopus:33947373031
ISSN
1610-1227
DOI
10.1127/0941-2948/2007/0174
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
5b947164-3f75-4f3d-989f-dda5027db1ac (old id 691556)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 12:26:51
date last changed
2022-03-21 04:27:42
@article{5b947164-3f75-4f3d-989f-dda5027db1ac,
  abstract     = {{Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period September 1987 through June 2003, using the PSU/NCAR MM5 mesoscale model driven by initial and boundary data from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The simulated precipitation is compared with two types of indirect precipitation observations. Firstly, snow accumulation on two large ice caps in SE-Iceland and on two large glaciers in central Iceland. Secondly, model output is used as input to the WaSiM-ETH hydrological model to calculate and compare the runoff with observed runoff from six watersheds in Iceland for the water years 1987-2002. Model precipitation compares favourably with both types of validation data. The seasonal and inter-annual variability of precipitation is investigated at low as well as high altitudes. The simulations reveal a negative trend in the winter precipitation in W-Iceland, but a positive trend in the ratio of lowland precipitation to mountain precipitation in E-Iceland. There is in general a substantial inter-annual variability in the ratio of lowland precipitation to precipitation in the mountains, especially in E-Iceland, emphasizing the limitation of precipitation observations in the lowlands as a proxy for precipitation in the mountains. In order to assess the impact of orography on the precipitation climate of Iceland, precipitation is simulated with flat Iceland and compared to a simulation with true orography. It is found that the mountains contribute to a total increase of precipitation in Iceland of the order of 40 %.}},
  author       = {{Roegnvaldsson, Olafur and Jonsdottir, Jona Finndis and Olafsson, Haraldur}},
  issn         = {{1610-1227}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{71--85}},
  publisher    = {{E Schweizerbartsche Verlags}},
  series       = {{Meteorologische Zeitschrift}},
  title        = {{Numerical simulations of precipitation in the complex terrain of Iceland - Comparison with glaciological and hydrological data}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2007/0174}},
  doi          = {{10.1127/0941-2948/2007/0174}},
  volume       = {{16}},
  year         = {{2007}},
}