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Risk assessment for preeclampsia in nulliparous women at 11-13weeks gestational age: prospective evaluation of two algorithms

Skrastad, R. B. ; Hov, G. G. ; Blaas, H-GK ; Romundstad, P. R. and Salvesen, Kjell LU (2015) In BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology 122(13). p.1781-1788
Abstract
ObjectiveTo evaluate two algorithms for prediction of preeclampsia in a population of nulliparous women in Norway. DesignProspective screening study. SettingNational Centre for Fetal Medicine in Trondheim, Norway. PopulationFive hundred and forty-one nulliparous women. MethodsThe women were examined between 11(+0) and 13(+6)weeks with interviews for maternal characteristics and measurements of mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and placental growth factor. The First Trimester Screening Program version 2.8 by The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) was compared with the Preeclampsia Predictor TM version 1 revision 2 by Perkin Elmer (PREDICTOR). Main outcome measuresPrediction of... (More)
ObjectiveTo evaluate two algorithms for prediction of preeclampsia in a population of nulliparous women in Norway. DesignProspective screening study. SettingNational Centre for Fetal Medicine in Trondheim, Norway. PopulationFive hundred and forty-one nulliparous women. MethodsThe women were examined between 11(+0) and 13(+6)weeks with interviews for maternal characteristics and measurements of mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and placental growth factor. The First Trimester Screening Program version 2.8 by The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) was compared with the Preeclampsia Predictor TM version 1 revision 2 by Perkin Elmer (PREDICTOR). Main outcome measuresPrediction of preeclampsia requiring delivery before 37weeks, before 42weeks and late preeclampsia (delivery after 34weeks). ResultsThe performance of the two algorithms was similar, but quite poor, for prediction of preeclampsia requiring delivery before 42weeks with an area under the curve of 0.77 (0.67-0.87) and sensitivity 40% (95% CI 19.1-63.9) at a fixed 10% false positive rate for FMF and 0.74 (0.63-0.84) and sensitivity 30% (95% CI 11.9-54.3) at a fixed 10% false positive rate for PREDICTOR. The FMF algorithm for preeclampsia requiring delivery <37weeks had an area under the curve of 0.94 (0.86-1.0) and sensitivity of 80% (95% CI 28.4-99.5) at a 10% fixed false positive rate. ConclusionsFetal Medicine Foundation and PREDICTOR algorithms had similar and only modest performance in predicting preeclampsia. The results indicate that the FMF algorithm is suitable for prediction of preterm preeclampsia. (Less)
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author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Biomarkers, blood pressure, Doppler, first trimester, preeclampsia, risk, calculation, ultrasound, uterine artery
in
BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology
volume
122
issue
13
pages
1781 - 1788
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • wos:000365452200010
  • scopus:84947612455
  • pmid:25471057
ISSN
1471-0528
DOI
10.1111/1471-0528.13194
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
63d89b76-6152-4488-8b69-f0d4dcc17364 (old id 8560223)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 13:06:50
date last changed
2022-03-06 03:50:38
@article{63d89b76-6152-4488-8b69-f0d4dcc17364,
  abstract     = {{ObjectiveTo evaluate two algorithms for prediction of preeclampsia in a population of nulliparous women in Norway. DesignProspective screening study. SettingNational Centre for Fetal Medicine in Trondheim, Norway. PopulationFive hundred and forty-one nulliparous women. MethodsThe women were examined between 11(+0) and 13(+6)weeks with interviews for maternal characteristics and measurements of mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and placental growth factor. The First Trimester Screening Program version 2.8 by The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) was compared with the Preeclampsia Predictor TM version 1 revision 2 by Perkin Elmer (PREDICTOR). Main outcome measuresPrediction of preeclampsia requiring delivery before 37weeks, before 42weeks and late preeclampsia (delivery after 34weeks). ResultsThe performance of the two algorithms was similar, but quite poor, for prediction of preeclampsia requiring delivery before 42weeks with an area under the curve of 0.77 (0.67-0.87) and sensitivity 40% (95% CI 19.1-63.9) at a fixed 10% false positive rate for FMF and 0.74 (0.63-0.84) and sensitivity 30% (95% CI 11.9-54.3) at a fixed 10% false positive rate for PREDICTOR. The FMF algorithm for preeclampsia requiring delivery &lt;37weeks had an area under the curve of 0.94 (0.86-1.0) and sensitivity of 80% (95% CI 28.4-99.5) at a 10% fixed false positive rate. ConclusionsFetal Medicine Foundation and PREDICTOR algorithms had similar and only modest performance in predicting preeclampsia. The results indicate that the FMF algorithm is suitable for prediction of preterm preeclampsia.}},
  author       = {{Skrastad, R. B. and Hov, G. G. and Blaas, H-GK and Romundstad, P. R. and Salvesen, Kjell}},
  issn         = {{1471-0528}},
  keywords     = {{Biomarkers; blood pressure; Doppler; first trimester; preeclampsia; risk; calculation; ultrasound; uterine artery}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{13}},
  pages        = {{1781--1788}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology}},
  title        = {{Risk assessment for preeclampsia in nulliparous women at 11-13weeks gestational age: prospective evaluation of two algorithms}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.13194}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/1471-0528.13194}},
  volume       = {{122}},
  year         = {{2015}},
}