Skip to main content

Lund University Publications

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Can tourism be part of the decarbonized global economy? The policy costs and risks of carbon reduction strategies.

Scott, D ; Gössling, Stefan LU ; Hall, C.M and Peeters, P (2015) In Journal of Sustainable Tourism 24(1). p.52-72
Abstract
Global leaders agree on the need to substantially decarbonize the global economy by 2050. This paper compares potential costs associated with different policy pathways to achieve tourism sector emission reduction ambitions (−50% by 2035) and transform the sector to be part of the mid-century decarbonized economy (−70% by 2050). Investment in emissions abatement within the tourism sector, combined with strategic external carbon offsets, was found to be approximately 5% more cost effective over the period 2015–2050 than exclusive reliance on offsetting. The cost to achieve the −50% target through abatement and strategic offsetting, while significant, represents less than 0.1% of the estimated global tourism economy in 2020 and 3.6% in 2050.... (More)
Global leaders agree on the need to substantially decarbonize the global economy by 2050. This paper compares potential costs associated with different policy pathways to achieve tourism sector emission reduction ambitions (−50% by 2035) and transform the sector to be part of the mid-century decarbonized economy (−70% by 2050). Investment in emissions abatement within the tourism sector, combined with strategic external carbon offsets, was found to be approximately 5% more cost effective over the period 2015–2050 than exclusive reliance on offsetting. The cost to achieve the −50% target through abatement and strategic offsetting, while significant, represents less than 0.1% of the estimated global tourism economy in 2020 and 3.6% in 2050. Distributed equally among all tourists (international and domestic), the cost of a low-carbon tourism sector is estimated at US$11 per trip, equivalent to many current travel fees or taxes. Exclusive reliance on offsetting would expose the sector to extensive and continued carbon liability costs beyond mid-century and could be perceived as climate inaction, increasing reputational risks and the potential for less efficient regulatory interventions that could hinder sustainable tourism development. Effective tourism sector leadership is needed to develop a strategic tourism policy framework and emission measurement and reporting system. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
climate change, climate policy, mitigation, offsetting, carbon management, transformative change
in
Journal of Sustainable Tourism
volume
24
issue
1
pages
52 - 72
publisher
Routledge
external identifiers
  • scopus:84948572841
ISSN
0966-9582
DOI
10.1080/09669582.2015.1107080
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
e27b35f8-a7b4-4e2e-9f26-71e0586c9a46 (old id 8834290)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 11:15:30
date last changed
2023-01-02 19:39:05
@article{e27b35f8-a7b4-4e2e-9f26-71e0586c9a46,
  abstract     = {{Global leaders agree on the need to substantially decarbonize the global economy by 2050. This paper compares potential costs associated with different policy pathways to achieve tourism sector emission reduction ambitions (−50% by 2035) and transform the sector to be part of the mid-century decarbonized economy (−70% by 2050). Investment in emissions abatement within the tourism sector, combined with strategic external carbon offsets, was found to be approximately 5% more cost effective over the period 2015–2050 than exclusive reliance on offsetting. The cost to achieve the −50% target through abatement and strategic offsetting, while significant, represents less than 0.1% of the estimated global tourism economy in 2020 and 3.6% in 2050. Distributed equally among all tourists (international and domestic), the cost of a low-carbon tourism sector is estimated at US$11 per trip, equivalent to many current travel fees or taxes. Exclusive reliance on offsetting would expose the sector to extensive and continued carbon liability costs beyond mid-century and could be perceived as climate inaction, increasing reputational risks and the potential for less efficient regulatory interventions that could hinder sustainable tourism development. Effective tourism sector leadership is needed to develop a strategic tourism policy framework and emission measurement and reporting system.}},
  author       = {{Scott, D and Gössling, Stefan and Hall, C.M and Peeters, P}},
  issn         = {{0966-9582}},
  keywords     = {{climate change; climate policy; mitigation; offsetting; carbon management; transformative change}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{52--72}},
  publisher    = {{Routledge}},
  series       = {{Journal of Sustainable Tourism}},
  title        = {{Can tourism be part of the decarbonized global economy? The policy costs and risks of carbon reduction strategies.}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1107080}},
  doi          = {{10.1080/09669582.2015.1107080}},
  volume       = {{24}},
  year         = {{2015}},
}