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Grasslands may be more reliable carbon sinks than forests in California

Dass, Pawlok ; Houlton, Benjamin Z. ; Wang, Yingping and Warlind, David LU orcid (2018) In Environmental Research Letters 13(7).
Abstract

Although natural terrestrial ecosystems have sequestered ∼25% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions, the long-term sustainability of this key ecosystem service is under question. Forests have traditionally been viewed as robust carbon (C) sinks; however, extreme heat-waves, drought and wildfire have increased tree mortality, particularly in widespread semi-arid regions, which account for ∼41% of Earth's land surface. Using a set of modeling experiments, we show that California grasslands are a more resilient C sink than forests in response to 21st century changes in climate, with implications for designing climate-smart Cap and Trade offset policies. The resilience of grasslands to rising temperatures, drought and fire, coupled with... (More)

Although natural terrestrial ecosystems have sequestered ∼25% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions, the long-term sustainability of this key ecosystem service is under question. Forests have traditionally been viewed as robust carbon (C) sinks; however, extreme heat-waves, drought and wildfire have increased tree mortality, particularly in widespread semi-arid regions, which account for ∼41% of Earth's land surface. Using a set of modeling experiments, we show that California grasslands are a more resilient C sink than forests in response to 21st century changes in climate, with implications for designing climate-smart Cap and Trade offset policies. The resilience of grasslands to rising temperatures, drought and fire, coupled with the preferential banking of C to belowground sinks, helps to preserve sequestered terrestrial C and prevent it from re-entering the atmosphere. In contrast, California forests appear unable to cope with unmitigated global changes in the climate, switching from substantial C sinks to C sources by at least the mid-21st century. These results highlight the inherent risk of relying on forest C offsets in the absence of management interventions to avoid substantial fire-driven C emissions. On the other hand, since grassland environments, including tree-sparse rangelands, appear more capable of maintaining C sinks in 21st century, such ecosystems should be considered as an alternative C offset to climate-vulnerable forests. The further development of climate-smart approaches in California's carbon marketplace could serve as an example to offset programs around the world, particularly those expanding into widespread arid and semi-arid regions.

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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Cap, Carbon cycle, Climate change, Drought, Forest, Grassland, Trade, Wildfire
in
Environmental Research Letters
volume
13
issue
7
article number
074027
publisher
IOP Publishing
external identifiers
  • scopus:85056560239
ISSN
1748-9326
DOI
10.1088/1748-9326/aacb39
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
fcadb7a6-289e-4874-b8d3-69c89b4b3263
date added to LUP
2018-11-28 10:08:21
date last changed
2023-01-23 02:10:13
@article{fcadb7a6-289e-4874-b8d3-69c89b4b3263,
  abstract     = {{<p>Although natural terrestrial ecosystems have sequestered ∼25% of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, the long-term sustainability of this key ecosystem service is under question. Forests have traditionally been viewed as robust carbon (C) sinks; however, extreme heat-waves, drought and wildfire have increased tree mortality, particularly in widespread semi-arid regions, which account for ∼41% of Earth's land surface. Using a set of modeling experiments, we show that California grasslands are a more resilient C sink than forests in response to 21st century changes in climate, with implications for designing climate-smart Cap and Trade offset policies. The resilience of grasslands to rising temperatures, drought and fire, coupled with the preferential banking of C to belowground sinks, helps to preserve sequestered terrestrial C and prevent it from re-entering the atmosphere. In contrast, California forests appear unable to cope with unmitigated global changes in the climate, switching from substantial C sinks to C sources by at least the mid-21st century. These results highlight the inherent risk of relying on forest C offsets in the absence of management interventions to avoid substantial fire-driven C emissions. On the other hand, since grassland environments, including tree-sparse rangelands, appear more capable of maintaining C sinks in 21st century, such ecosystems should be considered as an alternative C offset to climate-vulnerable forests. The further development of climate-smart approaches in California's carbon marketplace could serve as an example to offset programs around the world, particularly those expanding into widespread arid and semi-arid regions.</p>}},
  author       = {{Dass, Pawlok and Houlton, Benjamin Z. and Wang, Yingping and Warlind, David}},
  issn         = {{1748-9326}},
  keywords     = {{Cap; Carbon cycle; Climate change; Drought; Forest; Grassland; Trade; Wildfire}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{7}},
  publisher    = {{IOP Publishing}},
  series       = {{Environmental Research Letters}},
  title        = {{Grasslands may be more reliable carbon sinks than forests in California}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aacb39}},
  doi          = {{10.1088/1748-9326/aacb39}},
  volume       = {{13}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}