Skip to main content

LUP Student Papers

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Gambling With Health - A Method to Test Decision Under Risk in the Domain of Health

Tops, Jonatan (2007)
Department of Economics
Abstract
In order to know how to efficiently allocate resources in health care we need a measure of its outcome, health. There is an ongoing debate on how the values of different health states are best measured. The dominating approach is to elicit utilities from decisions made by the public, in an experimental setting. In order to elicit valid utilities a theory of how decisions are made is needed. Traditionally the expected utility theory has been used but recently the prospect theory has been shown much interest. In this thesis a method is developed to test which one of these two theories is most suitable to use in the domain of health. The general idea behind the method is that each respondent constructs her own scale for rating health states.... (More)
In order to know how to efficiently allocate resources in health care we need a measure of its outcome, health. There is an ongoing debate on how the values of different health states are best measured. The dominating approach is to elicit utilities from decisions made by the public, in an experimental setting. In order to elicit valid utilities a theory of how decisions are made is needed. Traditionally the expected utility theory has been used but recently the prospect theory has been shown much interest. In this thesis a method is developed to test which one of these two theories is most suitable to use in the domain of health. The general idea behind the method is that each respondent constructs her own scale for rating health states. The method is also applied in a small scale experiment. It is concluded that the method seems applicable. Furthermore, the experiment indicates that probability weighting is plausible while the other features of the prospect theory are not clearly supported. The thesis ends with a brief discussion about how the method could be used in future surveys. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Tops, Jonatan
supervisor
organization
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
QALY, Prospect theory, expected utility, Economics, econometrics, economic theory, economic systems, economic policy, Nationalekonomi, ekonometri, ekonomisk teori, ekonomiska system, ekonomisk politik
language
English
id
1337385
date added to LUP
2007-02-12 00:00:00
date last changed
2010-08-03 10:49:34
@misc{1337385,
  abstract     = {{In order to know how to efficiently allocate resources in health care we need a measure of its outcome, health. There is an ongoing debate on how the values of different health states are best measured. The dominating approach is to elicit utilities from decisions made by the public, in an experimental setting. In order to elicit valid utilities a theory of how decisions are made is needed. Traditionally the expected utility theory has been used but recently the prospect theory has been shown much interest. In this thesis a method is developed to test which one of these two theories is most suitable to use in the domain of health. The general idea behind the method is that each respondent constructs her own scale for rating health states. The method is also applied in a small scale experiment. It is concluded that the method seems applicable. Furthermore, the experiment indicates that probability weighting is plausible while the other features of the prospect theory are not clearly supported. The thesis ends with a brief discussion about how the method could be used in future surveys.}},
  author       = {{Tops, Jonatan}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Gambling With Health - A Method to Test Decision Under Risk in the Domain of Health}},
  year         = {{2007}},
}