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The Quality of Government Peace - How Good Governance Reduces the Risk of Interstate Conflict

Råby, Nils LU (2009) STVM01 20091
Department of Political Science
Abstract
In this thesis the impact of quality of government on the risk of interstate conflict is analyzed. Data on Militarised Interstate Disputes (MIDs) from the Correlates of War is used as an indicator of conflict and scores from the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) is applied as a measure of quality of government. The unit of analysis is pairs of states, dyads. By employing logistic regression analysis and covering the time period of 1985-2000, I find that as the weaker state in a dyad gets stronger, the probability of conflict declines. Improved quality of government thus reduces the risk of interstate conflict.
The result is based on a model which includes variables for democracy and
incomplete democratization, as well as controls... (More)
In this thesis the impact of quality of government on the risk of interstate conflict is analyzed. Data on Militarised Interstate Disputes (MIDs) from the Correlates of War is used as an indicator of conflict and scores from the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) is applied as a measure of quality of government. The unit of analysis is pairs of states, dyads. By employing logistic regression analysis and covering the time period of 1985-2000, I find that as the weaker state in a dyad gets stronger, the probability of conflict declines. Improved quality of government thus reduces the risk of interstate conflict.
The result is based on a model which includes variables for democracy and
incomplete democratization, as well as controls for realist claims and geographic constrains. Although these findings do not rule out the pacifying benefits of democracy, they do add to the argument that, initially, government improvement might be more important than democratization for developing countries. (Less)
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author
Råby, Nils LU
supervisor
organization
course
STVM01 20091
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
keywords
quality of government, interstate conflict, logistic regression, democratic peace theory
language
English
id
1399203
date added to LUP
2009-06-18 11:28:56
date last changed
2009-06-18 11:28:56
@misc{1399203,
  abstract     = {In this thesis the impact of quality of government on the risk of interstate conflict is analyzed. Data on Militarised Interstate Disputes (MIDs) from the Correlates of War is used as an indicator of conflict and scores from the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) is applied as a measure of quality of government. The unit of analysis is pairs of states, dyads. By employing logistic regression analysis and covering the time period of 1985-2000, I find that as the weaker state in a dyad gets stronger, the probability of conflict declines. Improved quality of government thus reduces the risk of interstate conflict.
The result is based on a model which includes variables for democracy and
incomplete democratization, as well as controls for realist claims and geographic constrains. Although these findings do not rule out the pacifying benefits of democracy, they do add to the argument that, initially, government improvement might be more important than democratization for developing countries.},
  author       = {Råby, Nils},
  keyword      = {quality of government,interstate conflict,logistic regression,democratic peace theory},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {The Quality of Government Peace - How Good Governance Reduces the Risk of Interstate Conflict},
  year         = {2009},
}