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Population under Harsh Time - Demographic Response to Short-term Fluctuation and Crisis in the Modern Economy

Qi, Haodong (2009)
Department of Economic History
Abstract
A considerable number of studies on historical and some third world populations have reached a magnificent consensus that both mortality and fertility do respond to economic changes in a surprisingly shared pattern. Such response, however, remains a great deal of controversy, obscure and inconsistency in the secular industrialized countries. The aim of this paper is to explore the association between economic changes and demographic responses in the contemporary modern economy. While there is widespread interest in this subject with particular focus on short-term fluctuations, I further study the impact of severe economic crises, measured by real GDP per capita and unemployment rate, on mortality and fertility in two advanced industrial... (More)
A considerable number of studies on historical and some third world populations have reached a magnificent consensus that both mortality and fertility do respond to economic changes in a surprisingly shared pattern. Such response, however, remains a great deal of controversy, obscure and inconsistency in the secular industrialized countries. The aim of this paper is to explore the association between economic changes and demographic responses in the contemporary modern economy. While there is widespread interest in this subject with particular focus on short-term fluctuations, I further study the impact of severe economic crises, measured by real GDP per capita and unemployment rate, on mortality and fertility in two advanced industrial nations: Sweden 1970-2007 and Japan 1971-2006. Statistical results indicate that the magnitude of such impact on population have been largely mitigated in contrast to the past and not necessarily lethal. There is certain inconsistency across the two countries, and therefore few shared patterns being generalized. (Less)
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author
Qi, Haodong
supervisor
organization
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
keywords
Economic fluctuations; Economic crisis; Fertility; Mortality; Demographic response; Sweden; Japan, Social and economic history, Ekonomisk och social historia
language
English
id
1436850
date added to LUP
2009-06-03 00:00:00
date last changed
2010-08-03 10:52:17
@misc{1436850,
  abstract     = {A considerable number of studies on historical and some third world populations have reached a magnificent consensus that both mortality and fertility do respond to economic changes in a surprisingly shared pattern. Such response, however, remains a great deal of controversy, obscure and inconsistency in the secular industrialized countries. The aim of this paper is to explore the association between economic changes and demographic responses in the contemporary modern economy. While there is widespread interest in this subject with particular focus on short-term fluctuations, I further study the impact of severe economic crises, measured by real GDP per capita and unemployment rate, on mortality and fertility in two advanced industrial nations: Sweden 1970-2007 and Japan 1971-2006. Statistical results indicate that the magnitude of such impact on population have been largely mitigated in contrast to the past and not necessarily lethal. There is certain inconsistency across the two countries, and therefore few shared patterns being generalized.},
  author       = {Qi, Haodong},
  keyword      = {Economic fluctuations; Economic crisis; Fertility; Mortality; Demographic response; Sweden; Japan,Social and economic history,Ekonomisk och social historia},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {Population under Harsh Time - Demographic Response to Short-term Fluctuation and Crisis in the Modern Economy},
  year         = {2009},
}