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Autonomi och inbördeskrig

Carlsson, Fredrik LU (2010) STVK01 20101
Department of Political Science
Abstract
In this paper the relationship of territorial autonomy and civil war duration is explained. Going against the often used treatment of autonomy as a conflict-solving mechanism the author argues that the granting of territorial autonomy to a certain group actually can prolong armed conflicts. Building upon data from UCDP’s conflict termination dataset and QoG time-series data, a wide dataset containing 258 independent intrastate armed conflicts from the period 1960 to 2008 is created to test the theory stated. En route to provide isolation regarding the effect of territorial autonomy on the duration of intrastate conflict, the method used is multiple regression analysis containing other widely used explanatory factors on civil war duration,... (More)
In this paper the relationship of territorial autonomy and civil war duration is explained. Going against the often used treatment of autonomy as a conflict-solving mechanism the author argues that the granting of territorial autonomy to a certain group actually can prolong armed conflicts. Building upon data from UCDP’s conflict termination dataset and QoG time-series data, a wide dataset containing 258 independent intrastate armed conflicts from the period 1960 to 2008 is created to test the theory stated. En route to provide isolation regarding the effect of territorial autonomy on the duration of intrastate conflict, the method used is multiple regression analysis containing other widely used explanatory factors on civil war duration, namely per capita income, income inequality, ethnic fractionalization, population size, division of largest minority, and democracy. Testing the effect of territorial autonomy on civil war duration against these other variables provide positive results supporting the theory, concluding that autonomy has a positive statistically proven cause to lengthen civil war duration with a mean of 3,8 years, independent of the other variables tested. Apart from territorial autonomy, a moderate degree of ethnic fractionalization stands significant with a positive relationship to civil war duration with regard to the other variables, providing support for previous literature results on civil war duration. (Less)
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author
Carlsson, Fredrik LU
supervisor
organization
alternative title
Påverkar territoriell autonomi inomstatliga väpnade konflikters varaktighet?
course
STVK01 20101
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
autonomy, autonomi, autonomous regions, civil war, duration, inbördeskrig, intrastate conflict, varaktighet
language
Swedish
id
1608356
date added to LUP
2010-06-29 16:46:54
date last changed
2010-06-29 16:46:54
@misc{1608356,
  abstract     = {In this paper the relationship of territorial autonomy and civil war duration is explained. Going against the often used treatment of autonomy as a conflict-solving mechanism the author argues that the granting of territorial autonomy to a certain group actually can prolong armed conflicts. Building upon data from UCDP’s conflict termination dataset and QoG time-series data, a wide dataset containing 258 independent intrastate armed conflicts from the period 1960 to 2008 is created to test the theory stated. En route to provide isolation regarding the effect of territorial autonomy on the duration of intrastate conflict, the method used is multiple regression analysis containing other widely used explanatory factors on civil war duration, namely per capita income, income inequality, ethnic fractionalization, population size, division of largest minority, and democracy. Testing the effect of territorial autonomy on civil war duration against these other variables provide positive results supporting the theory, concluding that autonomy has a positive statistically proven cause to lengthen civil war duration with a mean of 3,8 years, independent of the other variables tested. Apart from territorial autonomy, a moderate degree of ethnic fractionalization stands significant with a positive relationship to civil war duration with regard to the other variables, providing support for previous literature results on civil war duration.},
  author       = {Carlsson, Fredrik},
  keyword      = {autonomy,autonomi,autonomous regions,civil war,duration,inbördeskrig,intrastate conflict,varaktighet},
  language     = {swe},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {Autonomi och inbördeskrig},
  year         = {2010},
}