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Att mäta effekter av åtgärder mot anlagd brand i skola

Gustavsson, Lotta LU and Lindbom, Johan LU (2010) In LUTVDG/TVBB--5338--SE VBR920 20102
Division of Fire Safety Engineering
Risk Management and Safety Engineering (M.Sc.Eng.)
Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety
Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety
Abstract
Arson in schools is a problem that has been increasing in Sweden recently. It is a problem that involves big economical and material losses for the society. To prevent arson, fire services often perform interventions against arson by informing and educating children and adolescent in fire risk. The benefits of such information and educational interventions can be difficult to quantify in order to measure the efficiency of the intervention. This work presents a model to indicate the expected number of arson fires in schools in a municipality based on its local conditions. The model is constructed by analyzing statistics using multiple regression analysis. By basing the model on variables that are not affected by an intervention, the... (More)
Arson in schools is a problem that has been increasing in Sweden recently. It is a problem that involves big economical and material losses for the society. To prevent arson, fire services often perform interventions against arson by informing and educating children and adolescent in fire risk. The benefits of such information and educational interventions can be difficult to quantify in order to measure the efficiency of the intervention. This work presents a model to indicate the expected number of arson fires in schools in a municipality based on its local conditions. The model is constructed by analyzing statistics using multiple regression analysis. By basing the model on variables that are not affected by an intervention, the difference between expected number of fires and actual number of fires, can be seen as the effects of interventions. The report also presents guidance of how to perform a cost-benefit analysis based on the presented model. (Less)
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author
Gustavsson, Lotta LU and Lindbom, Johan LU
supervisor
organization
alternative title
To measure effects of interventions against arson at schools
course
VBR920 20102
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
multipel linjär regressionsanalys, effekt, Anlagd brand, modellutveckling, kostnads- nyttoanalys
publication/series
LUTVDG/TVBB--5338--SE
report number
5338
ISSN
1402-3504
language
Swedish
id
1712848
date added to LUP
2010-11-04 09:57:02
date last changed
2020-12-03 14:26:06
@misc{1712848,
  abstract     = {Arson in schools is a problem that has been increasing in Sweden recently. It is a problem that involves big economical and material losses for the society. To prevent arson, fire services often perform interventions against arson by informing and educating children and adolescent in fire risk. The benefits of such information and educational interventions can be difficult to quantify in order to measure the efficiency of the intervention. This work presents a model to indicate the expected number of arson fires in schools in a municipality based on its local conditions. The model is constructed by analyzing statistics using multiple regression analysis. By basing the model on variables that are not affected by an intervention, the difference between expected number of fires and actual number of fires, can be seen as the effects of interventions. The report also presents guidance of how to perform a cost-benefit analysis based on the presented model.},
  author       = {Gustavsson, Lotta and Lindbom, Johan},
  issn         = {1402-3504},
  keyword      = {multipel linjär regressionsanalys,effekt,Anlagd brand,modellutveckling,kostnads- nyttoanalys},
  language     = {swe},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  series       = {LUTVDG/TVBB--5338--SE},
  title        = {Att mäta effekter av åtgärder mot anlagd brand i skola},
  year         = {2010},
}