Demographic dividend or youth bulge fuelled conflicts? - An analysis of the Arab spring
(2016) SGEK02 20152Human Geography
- Abstract
- The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth... (More)
- The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth levels combined with poor economic performance, could be an indicator of increased vulnerability for conflicts to erupt in a state. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/8799101
- author
- Erichsen, Victor LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- SGEK02 20152
- year
- 2016
- type
- M2 - Bachelor Degree
- subject
- keywords
- Arab spring, youth bulge, demographic transition, conflict, demographic dividend
- language
- English
- id
- 8799101
- date added to LUP
- 2016-03-31 10:49:25
- date last changed
- 2016-03-31 10:49:25
@misc{8799101, abstract = {{The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth levels combined with poor economic performance, could be an indicator of increased vulnerability for conflicts to erupt in a state.}}, author = {{Erichsen, Victor}}, language = {{eng}}, note = {{Student Paper}}, title = {{Demographic dividend or youth bulge fuelled conflicts? - An analysis of the Arab spring}}, year = {{2016}}, }