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Demographic dividend or youth bulge fuelled conflicts? - An analysis of the Arab spring

Erichsen, Victor LU (2016) SGEK02 20152
Human Geography
Abstract
The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth... (More)
The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth levels combined with poor economic performance, could be an indicator of increased vulnerability for conflicts to erupt in a state. (Less)
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author
Erichsen, Victor LU
supervisor
organization
course
SGEK02 20152
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Arab spring, youth bulge, demographic transition, conflict, demographic dividend
language
English
id
8799101
date added to LUP
2016-03-31 10:49:25
date last changed
2016-03-31 10:49:25
@misc{8799101,
  abstract     = {The Arab spring caught both scholars and regimes by surprise, bringing rapid changes to a previously thought stable region. The events of the Arab spring did not impact all Arab states in an equal matter though, and while some regimes fell, other seemed to be largely unaffected. Applying theories of youth bulges and demographic transition this study analyses the age-structure and GNI per capita for each Arab state included, looking for an explanation to why the Arab spring had such an uneven spread. The findings are not conclusive, though the Arab states affected had a higher youth share of their adult populations and significantly lower GNI per capita levels, in the year leading up to the Arab spring. This points towards that high youth levels combined with poor economic performance, could be an indicator of increased vulnerability for conflicts to erupt in a state.},
  author       = {Erichsen, Victor},
  keyword      = {Arab spring,youth bulge,demographic transition,conflict,demographic dividend},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {Demographic dividend or youth bulge fuelled conflicts? - An analysis of the Arab spring},
  year         = {2016},
}