Modelling Grain Surplus/Deficit in Cameroon for 2030
(2016) In Student thesis series INES NGEM01 20161Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science
- Abstract
- Central Africa has the lowest food production per capita, slow yield development and the fastest growing population in the world. This study aimed to develop a model, which estimates the grain surplus or deficit in Cameroon for 2015-2030. Grains form the main diet in Cameroon and the modelled grains in this project are sorghum, millet, rice and maize. Additionally, in the case of a deficit, the yield growth needed to meet consumption in 2030 was calculated and interviews were conducted with farmers in Cameroon. The model results show that a deficit for maize and rice is expected in 2030 but not for millet and sorghum. Yield growth needed for rice is high whereas the maize yield growth needed is smaller. Main identified problems for further... (More)
- Central Africa has the lowest food production per capita, slow yield development and the fastest growing population in the world. This study aimed to develop a model, which estimates the grain surplus or deficit in Cameroon for 2015-2030. Grains form the main diet in Cameroon and the modelled grains in this project are sorghum, millet, rice and maize. Additionally, in the case of a deficit, the yield growth needed to meet consumption in 2030 was calculated and interviews were conducted with farmers in Cameroon. The model results show that a deficit for maize and rice is expected in 2030 but not for millet and sorghum. Yield growth needed for rice is high whereas the maize yield growth needed is smaller. Main identified problems for further production growth are climate change, population growth, postharvest losses and the access to resources such as fertilizers, mechanization, and preservation technology. (Less)
- Popular Abstract
- Central Africa has the lowest food production per person, slow yield per hectare growth and the fastest growing population in the world. This study aims to develop a model, which predicts the grain surplus or deficit in Cameroon for 2015-2030. Grains are a main part of the diet in Cameroon and the modelled grains in this project are sorghum, millet, rice and maize. In the case of a grain shortage, the yield growth needed to meet consumption in 2030 was calculated. Two farmers and an agricultural officer were interviewed to get local knowledge and opinions.
The model results show that a shortage for maize and rice is expected in 2030 but not for millet and sorghum. Yield growth needed for rice is high whereas the maize yield growth... (More) - Central Africa has the lowest food production per person, slow yield per hectare growth and the fastest growing population in the world. This study aims to develop a model, which predicts the grain surplus or deficit in Cameroon for 2015-2030. Grains are a main part of the diet in Cameroon and the modelled grains in this project are sorghum, millet, rice and maize. In the case of a grain shortage, the yield growth needed to meet consumption in 2030 was calculated. Two farmers and an agricultural officer were interviewed to get local knowledge and opinions.
The model results show that a shortage for maize and rice is expected in 2030 but not for millet and sorghum. Yield growth needed for rice is high whereas the maize yield growth needed is small. Main identified problems for further production growth are climate change, population growth, postharvest losses, which is the loss of crop after harvesting, and the access to resources such as fertilizers, mechanization, and preservation technology. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/8884352
- author
- Hermans, Thirze LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- NGEM01 20161
- year
- 2016
- type
- H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
- subject
- keywords
- modelling, grains, Cameroon, Physical Geography and Ecosystem Analysis, food security
- publication/series
- Student thesis series INES
- report number
- 393
- language
- English
- additional info
- Interview transcripts are available upon request.
- id
- 8884352
- date added to LUP
- 2016-06-22 16:34:37
- date last changed
- 2016-06-22 16:34:37
@misc{8884352,
abstract = {{Central Africa has the lowest food production per capita, slow yield development and the fastest growing population in the world. This study aimed to develop a model, which estimates the grain surplus or deficit in Cameroon for 2015-2030. Grains form the main diet in Cameroon and the modelled grains in this project are sorghum, millet, rice and maize. Additionally, in the case of a deficit, the yield growth needed to meet consumption in 2030 was calculated and interviews were conducted with farmers in Cameroon. The model results show that a deficit for maize and rice is expected in 2030 but not for millet and sorghum. Yield growth needed for rice is high whereas the maize yield growth needed is smaller. Main identified problems for further production growth are climate change, population growth, postharvest losses and the access to resources such as fertilizers, mechanization, and preservation technology.}},
author = {{Hermans, Thirze}},
language = {{eng}},
note = {{Student Paper}},
series = {{Student thesis series INES}},
title = {{Modelling Grain Surplus/Deficit in Cameroon for 2030}},
year = {{2016}},
}