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Closeness and turnout: The 2016 Georgian parliamentary election

Wilhelmsson, Matilda LU (2020) STVK02 20201
Department of Political Science
Abstract
In this thesis I examine how two variables: closeness and the TP-share (two-party-share) of votes impact turnout in elections. I use data from the 2016 Georgian parliamentary election and its two-rounds of election in the majoritarian districts. This field of research poses a wide variety of methodological approaches. One concerns the definition of the dependent variable, turnout. Instead of only using the turnout in the districts in the 2nd round I look at the change in turnout in the districts between the 1st round and the 2nd round of elections and use statistical analysis to test the impact of the two variables. I find that closeness and the two-party share of votes have a significant positive effect on turnout. Previous studies have... (More)
In this thesis I examine how two variables: closeness and the TP-share (two-party-share) of votes impact turnout in elections. I use data from the 2016 Georgian parliamentary election and its two-rounds of election in the majoritarian districts. This field of research poses a wide variety of methodological approaches. One concerns the definition of the dependent variable, turnout. Instead of only using the turnout in the districts in the 2nd round I look at the change in turnout in the districts between the 1st round and the 2nd round of elections and use statistical analysis to test the impact of the two variables. I find that closeness and the two-party share of votes have a significant positive effect on turnout. Previous studies have all used their own different ways to define the closeness variable. Therefore, I also test hypotheses connected to the choice of closeness-measurement. I establish that the mpm (multi-party-margin) and the tpm (two-party-margin) are best suited for explaining the closeness-turnout hypothesis. (Less)
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author
Wilhelmsson, Matilda LU
supervisor
organization
course
STVK02 20201
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
turnout, closeness, two-party-share of votes, statistical analysis, Georgia
language
English
id
9026403
date added to LUP
2020-09-23 11:04:26
date last changed
2020-09-23 11:04:26
@misc{9026403,
  abstract     = {{In this thesis I examine how two variables: closeness and the TP-share (two-party-share) of votes impact turnout in elections. I use data from the 2016 Georgian parliamentary election and its two-rounds of election in the majoritarian districts. This field of research poses a wide variety of methodological approaches. One concerns the definition of the dependent variable, turnout. Instead of only using the turnout in the districts in the 2nd round I look at the change in turnout in the districts between the 1st round and the 2nd round of elections and use statistical analysis to test the impact of the two variables. I find that closeness and the two-party share of votes have a significant positive effect on turnout. Previous studies have all used their own different ways to define the closeness variable. Therefore, I also test hypotheses connected to the choice of closeness-measurement. I establish that the mpm (multi-party-margin) and the tpm (two-party-margin) are best suited for explaining the closeness-turnout hypothesis.}},
  author       = {{Wilhelmsson, Matilda}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Closeness and turnout: The 2016 Georgian parliamentary election}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}