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Inflationens påverkan på den ekonomiska tillväxten

Lidman, Tilda LU (2021) NEKH03 20211
Department of Economics
Abstract
This paper examines whether the impact of inflation on economic growth has changed over the last few decades. It uses linear panel data for 81 countries over the time period 1960-2020. The study builds on the research done by Robert Barro (1995) which concludes that during the time period 1960-1990 inflation had a negative impact on economic growth. This study confirms that Barro’s results hold and that the impact inflation has on economic growth is different between the time periods 1960-1990 and 1990-2020, where inflation has a less negative, or even slightly positive, impact on economic growth during the second time period. In attempt to explain this difference in impact different aspects of inflation were analyzed (volatility, levels,... (More)
This paper examines whether the impact of inflation on economic growth has changed over the last few decades. It uses linear panel data for 81 countries over the time period 1960-2020. The study builds on the research done by Robert Barro (1995) which concludes that during the time period 1960-1990 inflation had a negative impact on economic growth. This study confirms that Barro’s results hold and that the impact inflation has on economic growth is different between the time periods 1960-1990 and 1990-2020, where inflation has a less negative, or even slightly positive, impact on economic growth during the second time period. In attempt to explain this difference in impact different aspects of inflation were analyzed (volatility, levels, deflation and inflation targeting). The results show that when inflation’s volatility or levels were low to medium, inflation had a slightly positive impact on economic growth, while it had a less positive impact when volatility or levels were high. When all aspects were included in the regression only volatility had significant results. (The effect of deflation and inflation targeting did not show any statistically significant results.) Furthermore, the study showed that observations with higher volatility and level of inflation were more prevalent during the first time period. Therefore, high volatility (and possibly high levels) of inflation could be one reason inflation’s impact on economic growth was less negative, or even slightly positive, in the second time period compared to the first time period. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Lidman, Tilda LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKH03 20211
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Inflation, ekonomisk tillväxt, volatil inflation, inflationsnivå, paneldata
language
Swedish
id
9049595
date added to LUP
2021-07-05 13:31:21
date last changed
2021-07-05 13:31:21
@misc{9049595,
  abstract     = {{This paper examines whether the impact of inflation on economic growth has changed over the last few decades. It uses linear panel data for 81 countries over the time period 1960-2020. The study builds on the research done by Robert Barro (1995) which concludes that during the time period 1960-1990 inflation had a negative impact on economic growth. This study confirms that Barro’s results hold and that the impact inflation has on economic growth is different between the time periods 1960-1990 and 1990-2020, where inflation has a less negative, or even slightly positive, impact on economic growth during the second time period. In attempt to explain this difference in impact different aspects of inflation were analyzed (volatility, levels, deflation and inflation targeting). The results show that when inflation’s volatility or levels were low to medium, inflation had a slightly positive impact on economic growth, while it had a less positive impact when volatility or levels were high. When all aspects were included in the regression only volatility had significant results. (The effect of deflation and inflation targeting did not show any statistically significant results.) Furthermore, the study showed that observations with higher volatility and level of inflation were more prevalent during the first time period. Therefore, high volatility (and possibly high levels) of inflation could be one reason inflation’s impact on economic growth was less negative, or even slightly positive, in the second time period compared to the first time period.}},
  author       = {{Lidman, Tilda}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Inflationens påverkan på den ekonomiska tillväxten}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}