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Effects of Temporary Migration on Fertility: a Case Study of Post-Soviet Tajikistan and Russia

Hawkes, Matthew LU (2019) EKHS02 20191
Department of Economic History
Abstract
This paper explores the relationship between temporary migration and fertility behaviour in Tajikistan. This research is motivated by the great volume of Tajikistanis who migrate temporarily from high-fertility Tajikistan to low-fertility Russia. Cox proportional hazards survival analysis models are used with a relatively large and representative dataset. The results of this analysis indicate that individual-level migration is associated with reduced higher-order fertility, while first-order fertility is unaffected. Community-level migration is not associated with either first- or higher-order fertility. Sensitivity analysis suggests that these findings are insensitive to minor methodological changes. Possible explanations for these... (More)
This paper explores the relationship between temporary migration and fertility behaviour in Tajikistan. This research is motivated by the great volume of Tajikistanis who migrate temporarily from high-fertility Tajikistan to low-fertility Russia. Cox proportional hazards survival analysis models are used with a relatively large and representative dataset. The results of this analysis indicate that individual-level migration is associated with reduced higher-order fertility, while first-order fertility is unaffected. Community-level migration is not associated with either first- or higher-order fertility. Sensitivity analysis suggests that these findings are insensitive to minor methodological changes. Possible explanations for these findings include ideational assimilation, economic adaptation, and disruption. Given the links between fertility and development, the findings of this study may be of interest to policymakers in Tajikistan. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Hawkes, Matthew LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHS02 20191
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
migration, fertility, assimilation, adaptation, Tajikistan
language
English
id
9062163
date added to LUP
2021-08-26 09:50:32
date last changed
2021-08-26 09:50:32
@misc{9062163,
  abstract     = {{This paper explores the relationship between temporary migration and fertility behaviour in Tajikistan. This research is motivated by the great volume of Tajikistanis who migrate temporarily from high-fertility Tajikistan to low-fertility Russia. Cox proportional hazards survival analysis models are used with a relatively large and representative dataset. The results of this analysis indicate that individual-level migration is associated with reduced higher-order fertility, while first-order fertility is unaffected. Community-level migration is not associated with either first- or higher-order fertility. Sensitivity analysis suggests that these findings are insensitive to minor methodological changes. Possible explanations for these findings include ideational assimilation, economic adaptation, and disruption. Given the links between fertility and development, the findings of this study may be of interest to policymakers in Tajikistan.}},
  author       = {{Hawkes, Matthew}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Effects of Temporary Migration on Fertility: a Case Study of Post-Soviet Tajikistan and Russia}},
  year         = {{2019}},
}