Skip to main content

LUP Student Papers

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

A closer look at war: analyzing the determinants of conflict in Mozambique during 2013-2021 using geo-referenced data

de Arriba Moreno, Fátima LU (2022) EKHS42 20221
Department of Economic History
Abstract
The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature,
finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and
geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional
level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using
a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database
to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource
endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating
by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of
conflict but no evidence... (More)
The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature,
finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and
geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional
level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using
a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database
to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource
endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating
by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of
conflict but no evidence for the role of horizontal inequality. Equally, ethnic fractionalization
and mining concessions boost the onset of conflicts. These findings are partly in line with
the literature, that finds a positive effect for inequality, but not for ethnic fractionalization,
and highlight the importance of tackling inequality to avoid the negative consequences of
conflict (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
de Arriba Moreno, Fátima LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHS42 20221
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
conflicts, vertical inequality, horizontal inequality, ethnic fractionalization, natural resources, climate change, zero-inflated negative binomial model
language
English
id
9089314
date added to LUP
2022-06-28 10:16:30
date last changed
2022-06-28 10:16:30
@misc{9089314,
  abstract     = {{The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature,
finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and
geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional
level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using
a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database
to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource
endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating
by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of
conflict but no evidence for the role of horizontal inequality. Equally, ethnic fractionalization
and mining concessions boost the onset of conflicts. These findings are partly in line with
the literature, that finds a positive effect for inequality, but not for ethnic fractionalization,
and highlight the importance of tackling inequality to avoid the negative consequences of
conflict}},
  author       = {{de Arriba Moreno, Fátima}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{A closer look at war: analyzing the determinants of conflict in Mozambique during 2013-2021 using geo-referenced data}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}