A closer look at war: analyzing the determinants of conflict in Mozambique during 2013-2021 using geo-referenced data
(2022) EKHS42 20221Department of Economic History
- Abstract
- The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature,
finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and
geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional
level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using
a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database
to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource
endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating
by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of
conflict but no evidence... (More) - The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature,
finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and
geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional
level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using
a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database
to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource
endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating
by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of
conflict but no evidence for the role of horizontal inequality. Equally, ethnic fractionalization
and mining concessions boost the onset of conflicts. These findings are partly in line with
the literature, that finds a positive effect for inequality, but not for ethnic fractionalization,
and highlight the importance of tackling inequality to avoid the negative consequences of
conflict (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/9089314
- author
- de Arriba Moreno, Fátima LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- EKHS42 20221
- year
- 2022
- type
- H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
- subject
- keywords
- conflicts, vertical inequality, horizontal inequality, ethnic fractionalization, natural resources, climate change, zero-inflated negative binomial model
- language
- English
- id
- 9089314
- date added to LUP
- 2022-06-28 10:16:30
- date last changed
- 2022-06-28 10:16:30
@misc{9089314, abstract = {{The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature, finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional level. Mozambique is now suffering a wave of conflicts whose causes seem varied. Using a negative-inflated binomial regression and geo-referenced data, we build a database to analyze the effect of inequality, fractionalization, climate change and natural resource endowments in the onset of conflict in Mozambique between 2013 and 2021. Disaggregating by area and types of conflict, we find a positive effect of absolute poverty on the onset of conflict but no evidence for the role of horizontal inequality. Equally, ethnic fractionalization and mining concessions boost the onset of conflicts. These findings are partly in line with the literature, that finds a positive effect for inequality, but not for ethnic fractionalization, and highlight the importance of tackling inequality to avoid the negative consequences of conflict}}, author = {{de Arriba Moreno, Fátima}}, language = {{eng}}, note = {{Student Paper}}, title = {{A closer look at war: analyzing the determinants of conflict in Mozambique during 2013-2021 using geo-referenced data}}, year = {{2022}}, }