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The Effect of Climate Change on Child Marriage: The case of Sub-Saharan Africa

Salib, Alexandra LU (2022) EKHS34 20221
Department of Economic History
Abstract
This paper analyzes the potential association between climate change and child marriage outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. By combining climate data with socioeconomic data from female respondents, a total of 26 Sub-Saharan countries were included in the analysis. To study the proposed relationship, temperature and precipitation were used as proxies for climate change. The relationship of interest was studied through logistic regression analysis, expressed in terms of marginal effects. Robust results indicate that temperatures above the long-term average are associated with an increased likelihood of child marriage. However, precipitation did not show a robust association. Further analysis on temperature displayed that extreme fluctuations,... (More)
This paper analyzes the potential association between climate change and child marriage outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. By combining climate data with socioeconomic data from female respondents, a total of 26 Sub-Saharan countries were included in the analysis. To study the proposed relationship, temperature and precipitation were used as proxies for climate change. The relationship of interest was studied through logistic regression analysis, expressed in terms of marginal effects. Robust results indicate that temperatures above the long-term average are associated with an increased likelihood of child marriage. However, precipitation did not show a robust association. Further analysis on temperature displayed that extreme fluctuations, whether positive or negative, were also associated with an increased probability of child marriage. This suggests that not only long-term climate change is of concern, but also short-term climate variability and weather shocks. It is theorized that this association between climate anomalies and child marriage is mediated by low socio-economic status and climate-generated exogenous economic shocks. Another point of analysis includes whether sensitivity to climate change differs in its impact on child marriage according to religious beliefs. The findings indicate that adherents of Islam and Animist/traditional religions have a lower sensitivity to climate anomalies compared to Christians and individuals with no religious affiliation. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Salib, Alexandra LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHS34 20221
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
language
English
id
9093276
date added to LUP
2022-06-28 10:10:50
date last changed
2022-06-28 10:10:50
@misc{9093276,
  abstract     = {{This paper analyzes the potential association between climate change and child marriage outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. By combining climate data with socioeconomic data from female respondents, a total of 26 Sub-Saharan countries were included in the analysis. To study the proposed relationship, temperature and precipitation were used as proxies for climate change. The relationship of interest was studied through logistic regression analysis, expressed in terms of marginal effects. Robust results indicate that temperatures above the long-term average are associated with an increased likelihood of child marriage. However, precipitation did not show a robust association. Further analysis on temperature displayed that extreme fluctuations, whether positive or negative, were also associated with an increased probability of child marriage. This suggests that not only long-term climate change is of concern, but also short-term climate variability and weather shocks. It is theorized that this association between climate anomalies and child marriage is mediated by low socio-economic status and climate-generated exogenous economic shocks. Another point of analysis includes whether sensitivity to climate change differs in its impact on child marriage according to religious beliefs. The findings indicate that adherents of Islam and Animist/traditional religions have a lower sensitivity to climate anomalies compared to Christians and individuals with no religious affiliation.}},
  author       = {{Salib, Alexandra}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{The Effect of Climate Change on Child Marriage: The case of Sub-Saharan Africa}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}