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Hur påverkades Ukrainas bilaterala exportflöden av kriget i Ukraina? En undersökning med gravitationsmodellen för handel

Risberg, Teo LU (2023) NEKH02 20222
Department of Economics
Abstract
This Bachelor’s thesis consists of an empirical study using a gravity regression model to determine if Ukrainian bilateral export flows were affected by the 2014 war through an increase in political and social risk functioning as trade resistance. There is an empirical research gap on this issue that this thesis attempts to mitigate. The study was conducted using PPML with fixed effects to solve the issue with unobserved trade can be problematic with a traditional OLS. Observations for the study consists of all bilateral export flows 2013 and 2015 for Ukraine and the control group consisting of Armenia and Belarus. The regression failed to show a significant effect of increased trade resistance due to the conflict and therefore further... (More)
This Bachelor’s thesis consists of an empirical study using a gravity regression model to determine if Ukrainian bilateral export flows were affected by the 2014 war through an increase in political and social risk functioning as trade resistance. There is an empirical research gap on this issue that this thesis attempts to mitigate. The study was conducted using PPML with fixed effects to solve the issue with unobserved trade can be problematic with a traditional OLS. Observations for the study consists of all bilateral export flows 2013 and 2015 for Ukraine and the control group consisting of Armenia and Belarus. The regression failed to show a significant effect of increased trade resistance due to the conflict and therefore further research on this subject is necessary. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Risberg, Teo LU
supervisor
organization
alternative title
How was bilateral exportflows impacted by the war in Ukraine? A study with the gravity model for trade
course
NEKH02 20222
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Export, war, Ukraine, risk, gravity model
language
Swedish
id
9114193
date added to LUP
2023-05-29 12:03:53
date last changed
2023-05-29 12:03:53
@misc{9114193,
  abstract     = {{This Bachelor’s thesis consists of an empirical study using a gravity regression model to determine if Ukrainian bilateral export flows were affected by the 2014 war through an increase in political and social risk functioning as trade resistance. There is an empirical research gap on this issue that this thesis attempts to mitigate. The study was conducted using PPML with fixed effects to solve the issue with unobserved trade can be problematic with a traditional OLS. Observations for the study consists of all bilateral export flows 2013 and 2015 for Ukraine and the control group consisting of Armenia and Belarus. The regression failed to show a significant effect of increased trade resistance due to the conflict and therefore further research on this subject is necessary.}},
  author       = {{Risberg, Teo}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Hur påverkades Ukrainas bilaterala exportflöden av kriget i Ukraina? En undersökning med gravitationsmodellen för handel}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}