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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: a tone setter for Euroscepticism at the EU’s external border regions? A quantitative study on the changes in Euroscepticism at the EU’s external borders after times of border insecurity, crisis and refugee influxes

Giedraitis, Jonathan LU (2023) STVM23 20231
Department of Political Science
Abstract
This thesis aimed to determine if Euroscepticism is demonstrated to shift in the EU’s external border regions after sudden border insecurities, compared to other types of regions. This field was explored due to previous researchers claiming that the EU’s border regions are particularly susceptible to changes in Euroscepticism due to sudden border insecurity. The case of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was chosen to test this claim. Cross-sectional data from just before the start of the war and a few months after it was selected to be compared, with samples being selected from Poland, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia, the four EU countries with borders on Ukraine. OLS-regressions and t-test analyses were run to determine if Euroscepticism had... (More)
This thesis aimed to determine if Euroscepticism is demonstrated to shift in the EU’s external border regions after sudden border insecurities, compared to other types of regions. This field was explored due to previous researchers claiming that the EU’s border regions are particularly susceptible to changes in Euroscepticism due to sudden border insecurity. The case of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was chosen to test this claim. Cross-sectional data from just before the start of the war and a few months after it was selected to be compared, with samples being selected from Poland, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia, the four EU countries with borders on Ukraine. OLS-regressions and t-test analyses were run to determine if Euroscepticism had been shown to change significantly after the start of the war in the external border regions whilst controlling for other covariates. The results indicated that Euroscepticism levels had not significantly changed in the external border regions after the start of the war. The results did, however, indicate that Euroscepticism levels decreased marginally in the entire sample used overall. Some significant independent covariates were additionally shown to correlate with Euroscepticism differentially after the start of the war, as opposed to before. (Less)
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author
Giedraitis, Jonathan LU
supervisor
organization
course
STVM23 20231
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Euroscepticism, The EU’s external borders, The war in Ukraine, Public opinion, The European Union
language
English
id
9115505
date added to LUP
2023-08-27 16:23:33
date last changed
2023-08-27 16:23:33
@misc{9115505,
  abstract     = {{This thesis aimed to determine if Euroscepticism is demonstrated to shift in the EU’s external border regions after sudden border insecurities, compared to other types of regions. This field was explored due to previous researchers claiming that the EU’s border regions are particularly susceptible to changes in Euroscepticism due to sudden border insecurity. The case of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was chosen to test this claim. Cross-sectional data from just before the start of the war and a few months after it was selected to be compared, with samples being selected from Poland, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia, the four EU countries with borders on Ukraine. OLS-regressions and t-test analyses were run to determine if Euroscepticism had been shown to change significantly after the start of the war in the external border regions whilst controlling for other covariates. The results indicated that Euroscepticism levels had not significantly changed in the external border regions after the start of the war. The results did, however, indicate that Euroscepticism levels decreased marginally in the entire sample used overall. Some significant independent covariates were additionally shown to correlate with Euroscepticism differentially after the start of the war, as opposed to before.}},
  author       = {{Giedraitis, Jonathan}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: a tone setter for Euroscepticism at the EU’s external border regions? A quantitative study on the changes in Euroscepticism at the EU’s external borders after times of border insecurity, crisis and refugee influxes}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}