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Infrastruktur och migrationsbeslut - En syntetisk inferensanalys av 1800-talets massutvandring

Sjögren, Karl Vilhelm LU (2023) NEKN01 20231
Department of Economics
Abstract (Swedish)
Sverige var under 1800-talets andra hälft ett fattigt land med höga utvandringstal. Parallellt med den tilltagande utvandringen industrialiserades landet och infrastruktur anlades, exempelvis i form av järnvägar. Ekonomisk teori anger att migrationsbeslut grundas i förhållandet mellan potentiella inkomster i värdlandet och kostnader för migrationen. Kostnaderna kan vara av olika slag, inte nödvändigtvis ekonomiska. Denna studie använder det svenska järnvägsnätets gradvisa utbyggnad som ett naturligt experiment för att avgöra hur beslut om migration påverkas av infrastrukturell utveckling. Medelst generaliserad syntetisk inferens studeras frågan för 25 församlingar mellan år 1850 och 1870 utifrån statistik insamlad från kyrkböcker och... (More)
Sverige var under 1800-talets andra hälft ett fattigt land med höga utvandringstal. Parallellt med den tilltagande utvandringen industrialiserades landet och infrastruktur anlades, exempelvis i form av järnvägar. Ekonomisk teori anger att migrationsbeslut grundas i förhållandet mellan potentiella inkomster i värdlandet och kostnader för migrationen. Kostnaderna kan vara av olika slag, inte nödvändigtvis ekonomiska. Denna studie använder det svenska järnvägsnätets gradvisa utbyggnad som ett naturligt experiment för att avgöra hur beslut om migration påverkas av infrastrukturell utveckling. Medelst generaliserad syntetisk inferens studeras frågan för 25 församlingar mellan år 1850 och 1870 utifrån statistik insamlad från kyrkböcker och mantalslängder i Riksarkivet. Den empiriska analysen tyder på att utvandringen stimulerades, men att ingen kausal tolkning kan göras av storleken på sambandet. (Less)
Abstract
During the latter half of the 19th century, Sweden was a poor nation with high rates of emigration. Concurrent to the surge in emigration, the country was industrialized and infrastructure developed, for instance in the shape of railways. Economic theory suggests that the relation between potential incomes in the host country and migration costs determine migration decisions. Such costs need not be of economic nature. This study exploits the gradual expansion of the Swedish railway network as a natural experiment to investigate how infrastructural development influence migration decisions. Using generalized synthetic inference, the topic is examined for 25 Swedish parishes between 1850 and 1870. Data is gathered from church and tax records... (More)
During the latter half of the 19th century, Sweden was a poor nation with high rates of emigration. Concurrent to the surge in emigration, the country was industrialized and infrastructure developed, for instance in the shape of railways. Economic theory suggests that the relation between potential incomes in the host country and migration costs determine migration decisions. Such costs need not be of economic nature. This study exploits the gradual expansion of the Swedish railway network as a natural experiment to investigate how infrastructural development influence migration decisions. Using generalized synthetic inference, the topic is examined for 25 Swedish parishes between 1850 and 1870. Data is gathered from church and tax records in Sweden’s National Archives. The empirical analysis implies that emigration increased in response to the development, but the size of the relationship can not be interpreted causally. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Sjögren, Karl Vilhelm LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKN01 20231
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
keywords
Nationalekonomi, Statistik, Migrationsbeslut, Svensk ekonomisk historia
language
Swedish
id
9117627
date added to LUP
2023-09-12 15:37:59
date last changed
2023-09-12 15:37:59
@misc{9117627,
  abstract     = {{During the latter half of the 19th century, Sweden was a poor nation with high rates of emigration. Concurrent to the surge in emigration, the country was industrialized and infrastructure developed, for instance in the shape of railways. Economic theory suggests that the relation between potential incomes in the host country and migration costs determine migration decisions. Such costs need not be of economic nature. This study exploits the gradual expansion of the Swedish railway network as a natural experiment to investigate how infrastructural development influence migration decisions. Using generalized synthetic inference, the topic is examined for 25 Swedish parishes between 1850 and 1870. Data is gathered from church and tax records in Sweden’s National Archives. The empirical analysis implies that emigration increased in response to the development, but the size of the relationship can not be interpreted causally.}},
  author       = {{Sjögren, Karl Vilhelm}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Infrastruktur och migrationsbeslut - En syntetisk inferensanalys av 1800-talets massutvandring}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}