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Den nordamerikanska styrräntan och de europeiska företagsobligationerna; en tidsserieanalys

Bornefalk, Vilhelm LU (2024) NEKH02 20241
Department of Economics
Abstract
This study aims to analyse how secured and subordinated bonds issued by European banks have performed in the secondary market in times when the Federal Funds Rate have increased by 5.25% since March 2022. Two indexes, each corresponding to the previously mentioned payment ranks, have been created and time series regressions have been run with periodic dummies of the day before and after the pre-scheduled FOMC announcements. The results of this study show no significant effect on the days in conjunction with the FOMC announcements, despite the secured index in times of a stable rate climate, where spread levels widened on the day before an announcement and tightened on the day that the rate was communicated to the market. Tendencies have,... (More)
This study aims to analyse how secured and subordinated bonds issued by European banks have performed in the secondary market in times when the Federal Funds Rate have increased by 5.25% since March 2022. Two indexes, each corresponding to the previously mentioned payment ranks, have been created and time series regressions have been run with periodic dummies of the day before and after the pre-scheduled FOMC announcements. The results of this study show no significant effect on the days in conjunction with the FOMC announcements, despite the secured index in times of a stable rate climate, where spread levels widened on the day before an announcement and tightened on the day that the rate was communicated to the market. Tendencies have, however, been noted, where both indexes displayed an increase in spread levels before the first Federal Funds Rate hike and spreads began to tighten prior to the stagnation of the rate. In addition, we saw tendencies of subordinated bonds being associated with an unproportionate amount of credit risk and market risk during times of rate hikes and then having the risk factors corrected when stagnation was anticipated by investors and happening. (Less)
Popular Abstract
This study aims to analyse how secured and subordinated bonds issued by European banks have performed in the secondary market in times when the Federal Funds Rate have increased by 5.25% since March 2022. Two indexes, each corresponding to the previously mentioned payment ranks, have been created and time series regressions have been run with periodic dummies of the day before and after the pre-scheduled FOMC announcements. The results of this study show no significant effect on the days in conjunction with the FOMC announcements, despite the secured index in times of a stable rate climate, where spread levels widened on the day before an announcement and tightened on the day that the rate was communicated to the market. Tendencies have,... (More)
This study aims to analyse how secured and subordinated bonds issued by European banks have performed in the secondary market in times when the Federal Funds Rate have increased by 5.25% since March 2022. Two indexes, each corresponding to the previously mentioned payment ranks, have been created and time series regressions have been run with periodic dummies of the day before and after the pre-scheduled FOMC announcements. The results of this study show no significant effect on the days in conjunction with the FOMC announcements, despite the secured index in times of a stable rate climate, where spread levels widened on the day before an announcement and tightened on the day that the rate was communicated to the market. Tendencies have, however, been noted, where both indexes displayed an increase in spread levels before the first Federal Funds Rate hike and spreads began to tighten prior to the stagnation of the rate. In addition, we saw tendencies of subordinated bonds being associated with an unproportionate amount of credit risk and market risk during times of rate hikes and then having the risk factors corrected when stagnation was anticipated by investors and happening. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Bornefalk, Vilhelm LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKH02 20241
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
FOMC, Bonds, Rate hikes, Banks, Financial markets
language
Swedish
id
9162243
date added to LUP
2024-09-24 08:57:49
date last changed
2024-09-24 08:57:49
@misc{9162243,
  abstract     = {{This study aims to analyse how secured and subordinated bonds issued by European banks have performed in the secondary market in times when the Federal Funds Rate have increased by 5.25% since March 2022. Two indexes, each corresponding to the previously mentioned payment ranks, have been created and time series regressions have been run with periodic dummies of the day before and after the pre-scheduled FOMC announcements. The results of this study show no significant effect on the days in conjunction with the FOMC announcements, despite the secured index in times of a stable rate climate, where spread levels widened on the day before an announcement and tightened on the day that the rate was communicated to the market. Tendencies have, however, been noted, where both indexes displayed an increase in spread levels before the first Federal Funds Rate hike and spreads began to tighten prior to the stagnation of the rate. In addition, we saw tendencies of subordinated bonds being associated with an unproportionate amount of credit risk and market risk during times of rate hikes and then having the risk factors corrected when stagnation was anticipated by investors and happening.}},
  author       = {{Bornefalk, Vilhelm}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Den nordamerikanska styrräntan och de europeiska företagsobligationerna; en tidsserieanalys}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}