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The Effect of Productivity on French Manufacturing Firms’ Export-Initiation Timing: Evidence from Duration Models

Schumann, Calvin Joshua LU (2024) EOSK12 20241
Department of Economic History
Abstract
This paper investigates empirically the extent to which the time-horizon between firms’ formation and initial export activity is determined by their productivity. To this end, discrete-time duration models with time-varying covariates are employed on a sample of French fabricated metal manufacturing firms: The Cox Proportional Hazards, Weibull, and Exponential model. Controlling for industry effects, productivity is found to significantly shorten the formation-to-export time-span, as are firms’ resources in terms of labour and investment into physical capital. Further, findings indicate that firms which enter markets later tend to initiate ex
ports faster. Conversely, more capital-intensive firms appear to initiate exports more slowly.... (More)
This paper investigates empirically the extent to which the time-horizon between firms’ formation and initial export activity is determined by their productivity. To this end, discrete-time duration models with time-varying covariates are employed on a sample of French fabricated metal manufacturing firms: The Cox Proportional Hazards, Weibull, and Exponential model. Controlling for industry effects, productivity is found to significantly shorten the formation-to-export time-span, as are firms’ resources in terms of labour and investment into physical capital. Further, findings indicate that firms which enter markets later tend to initiate ex
ports faster. Conversely, more capital-intensive firms appear to initiate exports more slowly. Various methodological concerns are raised, which have thus far not yet received attention. Specifically, the treatment of market-exit as a competing event, and the treatment of export-initiation as an event subject to a cure proportion are yet to be implemented in duration analyses of firms’ pre-export time-span. (Less)
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author
Schumann, Calvin Joshua LU
supervisor
organization
course
EOSK12 20241
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Export Initiation, Market Entry Timing, Internationalization, Productivity, Duration Models
language
English
id
9167596
date added to LUP
2024-06-24 12:17:44
date last changed
2024-06-24 12:17:44
@misc{9167596,
  abstract     = {{This paper investigates empirically the extent to which the time-horizon between firms’ formation and initial export activity is determined by their productivity. To this end, discrete-time duration models with time-varying covariates are employed on a sample of French fabricated metal manufacturing firms: The Cox Proportional Hazards, Weibull, and Exponential model. Controlling for industry effects, productivity is found to significantly shorten the formation-to-export time-span, as are firms’ resources in terms of labour and investment into physical capital. Further, findings indicate that firms which enter markets later tend to initiate ex
ports faster. Conversely, more capital-intensive firms appear to initiate exports more slowly. Various methodological concerns are raised, which have thus far not yet received attention. Specifically, the treatment of market-exit as a competing event, and the treatment of export-initiation as an event subject to a cure proportion are yet to be implemented in duration analyses of firms’ pre-export time-span.}},
  author       = {{Schumann, Calvin Joshua}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{The Effect of Productivity on French Manufacturing Firms’ Export-Initiation Timing: Evidence from Duration Models}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}