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On the China Shock: A New Approach & Cross-Country Evidence

Duhamel, Cyprien Michel Philippe Marie LU (2024) EKHS42 20241
Department of Economic History
Abstract
This study proposes a new approach to decompose trade flows between their
supply- and demand-driven components as an alternative to the instrumental variable approach used in the literature. With the data obtained from this new approach, I run a cross-country analysis of Chinese imports on domestic labour markets across several margins. I find that Chinese manufacturing imports of final goods have substantially decreased the share of manufacturing employment in Western European and Northern American countries until 2018. However, I do not find a significant effect of technological progress on employment in these countries. In Eastern and Northern European and, Baltic States I find a marginal effect of trade on manufacturing. Whereas... (More)
This study proposes a new approach to decompose trade flows between their
supply- and demand-driven components as an alternative to the instrumental variable approach used in the literature. With the data obtained from this new approach, I run a cross-country analysis of Chinese imports on domestic labour markets across several margins. I find that Chinese manufacturing imports of final goods have substantially decreased the share of manufacturing employment in Western European and Northern American countries until 2018. However, I do not find a significant effect of technological progress on employment in these countries. In Eastern and Northern European and, Baltic States I find a marginal effect of trade on manufacturing. Whereas technological progress significantly contributes to the expansion of non-manufacturing employment in the period 2013-2018. Overall, trade and technology appear to be idiosyncratic across countries with further research needed to uncover any general trend. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Duhamel, Cyprien Michel Philippe Marie LU
supervisor
organization
alternative title
An exploration of trade competition in advanced economies
course
EKHS42 20241
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
language
English
id
9174800
date added to LUP
2024-10-01 13:43:54
date last changed
2024-10-01 13:43:54
@misc{9174800,
  abstract     = {{This study proposes a new approach to decompose trade flows between their
supply- and demand-driven components as an alternative to the instrumental variable approach used in the literature. With the data obtained from this new approach, I run a cross-country analysis of Chinese imports on domestic labour markets across several margins. I find that Chinese manufacturing imports of final goods have substantially decreased the share of manufacturing employment in Western European and Northern American countries until 2018. However, I do not find a significant effect of technological progress on employment in these countries. In Eastern and Northern European and, Baltic States I find a marginal effect of trade on manufacturing. Whereas technological progress significantly contributes to the expansion of non-manufacturing employment in the period 2013-2018. Overall, trade and technology appear to be idiosyncratic across countries with further research needed to uncover any general trend.}},
  author       = {{Duhamel, Cyprien Michel Philippe Marie}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{On the China Shock: A New Approach & Cross-Country Evidence}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}