Skip to main content

LUP Student Papers

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Did Trump’s Steel Tariffs Imposed in 2018 Impact Swedish Steel Exports to the United States?

Strid, Matilda LU and Falkland, Maria LU (2015) NEKP01 20251
Department of Economics
Abstract
In today’s increasingly trade protectionist world with substantial tariffs being announced by major economies, it is important to understand the effects of such measures. The United States (US) under the lead of the Trump administration has announced significant tariffs during 2025, one of which is a 25 percent tariff on steel imports. Similarly, during Trump’s first presidency term, the US imposed a 25 percent steel tariff in 2018. The fact that the exact same policy change was imposed during both presidency terms enables us to use history as a guide for the future. By analyzing what effect the 2018 steel tariff had on steel exports we aim to provide an evidence-based prediction for the effects of the 2025 steel tariff. This study... (More)
In today’s increasingly trade protectionist world with substantial tariffs being announced by major economies, it is important to understand the effects of such measures. The United States (US) under the lead of the Trump administration has announced significant tariffs during 2025, one of which is a 25 percent tariff on steel imports. Similarly, during Trump’s first presidency term, the US imposed a 25 percent steel tariff in 2018. The fact that the exact same policy change was imposed during both presidency terms enables us to use history as a guide for the future. By analyzing what effect the 2018 steel tariff had on steel exports we aim to provide an evidence-based prediction for the effects of the 2025 steel tariff. This study utilizes the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) to investigate whether the 2018 steel tariffs impacted Swedish steel exports to the US. Sweden is a relatively large steel-producing nation, with a highly specialized steel sector. Our findings state that the 25 percent steel tariff resulted in a 31.4 percent decline in Swedish steel exports to the US. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Strid, Matilda LU and Falkland, Maria LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKP01 20251
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Tariffs, Steel, Synthetic Control Method, Sweden, International Trade
language
English
id
9193310
date added to LUP
2025-09-12 11:19:32
date last changed
2025-09-12 11:19:32
@misc{9193310,
  abstract     = {{In today’s increasingly trade protectionist world with substantial tariffs being announced by major economies, it is important to understand the effects of such measures. The United States (US) under the lead of the Trump administration has announced significant tariffs during 2025, one of which is a 25 percent tariff on steel imports. Similarly, during Trump’s first presidency term, the US imposed a 25 percent steel tariff in 2018. The fact that the exact same policy change was imposed during both presidency terms enables us to use history as a guide for the future. By analyzing what effect the 2018 steel tariff had on steel exports we aim to provide an evidence-based prediction for the effects of the 2025 steel tariff. This study utilizes the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) to investigate whether the 2018 steel tariffs impacted Swedish steel exports to the US. Sweden is a relatively large steel-producing nation, with a highly specialized steel sector. Our findings state that the 25 percent steel tariff resulted in a 31.4 percent decline in Swedish steel exports to the US.}},
  author       = {{Strid, Matilda and Falkland, Maria}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Did Trump’s Steel Tariffs Imposed in 2018 Impact Swedish Steel Exports to the United States?}},
  year         = {{2015}},
}