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Evaluating the Impact of JUNTOS on Multidimensional Poverty: Econometric Evidence from Peru´s Conditional Cash Transfer Program

Schmitt, Julian Alexander LU (2025) EKHS42 20251
Department of Economic History
Abstract
This thesis evaluates the impact of Peru’s flagship Conditional Cash Transfer program, JUNTOS, on multidimensional poverty by applying the Multidimensional Poverty Index. Using a Difference-in-Differences approach adapted for staggered treatment adoption through the Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021) estimator, the analysis draws on nationally representative household survey data from 2004 to 2007. By leveraging the program’s phased rollout across provinces, the study provides estimates of JUNTOS’ effect on education, health, and living standards. The results reveal modest but positive treatment effects on reducing multidimensional poverty, particularly emerging two years after program implementation, although estimates lack statistical... (More)
This thesis evaluates the impact of Peru’s flagship Conditional Cash Transfer program, JUNTOS, on multidimensional poverty by applying the Multidimensional Poverty Index. Using a Difference-in-Differences approach adapted for staggered treatment adoption through the Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021) estimator, the analysis draws on nationally representative household survey data from 2004 to 2007. By leveraging the program’s phased rollout across provinces, the study provides estimates of JUNTOS’ effect on education, health, and living standards. The results reveal modest but positive treatment effects on reducing multidimensional poverty, particularly emerging two years after program implementation, although estimates lack statistical significance. These findings suggest that while programs like JUNTOS hold potential for poverty reduction beyond income dimensions, their impacts remain limited without complementary investments in service quality and accessibility. The study highlights the need for integrated policy designs to amplify the long-term benefits of social protection programs aimed at breaking cycles of poverty. (Less)
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author
Schmitt, Julian Alexander LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHS42 20251
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Conditional Cash Transfer, Peru, Policy Evaluation, Welfare Program, Human Capital
language
English
id
9203698
date added to LUP
2025-08-18 10:46:30
date last changed
2025-08-18 10:46:30
@misc{9203698,
  abstract     = {{This thesis evaluates the impact of Peru’s flagship Conditional Cash Transfer program, JUNTOS, on multidimensional poverty by applying the Multidimensional Poverty Index. Using a Difference-in-Differences approach adapted for staggered treatment adoption through the Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021) estimator, the analysis draws on nationally representative household survey data from 2004 to 2007. By leveraging the program’s phased rollout across provinces, the study provides estimates of JUNTOS’ effect on education, health, and living standards. The results reveal modest but positive treatment effects on reducing multidimensional poverty, particularly emerging two years after program implementation, although estimates lack statistical significance. These findings suggest that while programs like JUNTOS hold potential for poverty reduction beyond income dimensions, their impacts remain limited without complementary investments in service quality and accessibility. The study highlights the need for integrated policy designs to amplify the long-term benefits of social protection programs aimed at breaking cycles of poverty.}},
  author       = {{Schmitt, Julian Alexander}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Evaluating the Impact of JUNTOS on Multidimensional Poverty: Econometric Evidence from Peru´s Conditional Cash Transfer Program}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}