Skip to main content

LUP Student Papers

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Varför skiljer sig hushållens uppfattade inflation från den faktiska inflationen i Sverige?

Nesse Månsson, David LU and Lübbe, Marcus LU (2026) NEKH02 20252
Department of Economics
Abstract
This study investigates why households' perceived inflation differs from the official inflation in Sweden, measured by CPI, over the period 1994-2025. The analysis is based upon two hypotheses: the first examines whether periods of high inflation are related to a lower gap between perceived- and official inflation. The second examines whether increased media exposure regarding inflation, is linked with a bigger inflationary gap. The study utilizes an econometric analysis with monthly Swedish time series data producing a total of three regressions estimated using OLS. The results show that the inflationary gap on average tends to be smaller during periods of high inflation thereby indicating that the households' perceptions are closer to... (More)
This study investigates why households' perceived inflation differs from the official inflation in Sweden, measured by CPI, over the period 1994-2025. The analysis is based upon two hypotheses: the first examines whether periods of high inflation are related to a lower gap between perceived- and official inflation. The second examines whether increased media exposure regarding inflation, is linked with a bigger inflationary gap. The study utilizes an econometric analysis with monthly Swedish time series data producing a total of three regressions estimated using OLS. The results show that the inflationary gap on average tends to be smaller during periods of high inflation thereby indicating that the households' perceptions are closer to the official measures during elevated inflation periods. Moreover, increased media exposure to inflation is associated with a larger gap between the households' perceptions and the official CPI. Further research could provide deeper insight regarding which factors affect the variation in the inflationary gap. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Nesse Månsson, David LU and Lübbe, Marcus LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKH02 20252
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Inflationary gap, Perceived inflation, CPI, Media exposure
language
Swedish
id
9221596
date added to LUP
2026-02-04 08:22:10
date last changed
2026-02-04 08:22:10
@misc{9221596,
  abstract     = {{This study investigates why households' perceived inflation differs from the official inflation in Sweden, measured by CPI, over the period 1994-2025. The analysis is based upon two hypotheses: the first examines whether periods of high inflation are related to a lower gap between perceived- and official inflation. The second examines whether increased media exposure regarding inflation, is linked with a bigger inflationary gap. The study utilizes an econometric analysis with monthly Swedish time series data producing a total of three regressions estimated using OLS. The results show that the inflationary gap on average tends to be smaller during periods of high inflation thereby indicating that the households' perceptions are closer to the official measures during elevated inflation periods. Moreover, increased media exposure to inflation is associated with a larger gap between the households' perceptions and the official CPI. Further research could provide deeper insight regarding which factors affect the variation in the inflationary gap.}},
  author       = {{Nesse Månsson, David and Lübbe, Marcus}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Varför skiljer sig hushållens uppfattade inflation från den faktiska inflationen i Sverige?}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}