In Certain Remembrance: a Meta-Analysis on the Relationship Between Confidence and Accuracy in Episodic Memory
(2024) PSPR14 20241Department of Psychology
- Abstract
- This meta-analysis reviewed the literature on the relationship between confidence and accuracy in episodic memory, specifically focusing on crime- relevant event memory in free and cued recall. Despite extensive research in this area, an apparent gap was identified within memory research, as no prior meta-analysis has addressed the relationship between confidence and accuracy in the context of free and cued recall. To explore this relationship in a manner comparable to existing meta-analyses on recognition memory, four relevant databases were searched using predetermined search terms. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to identify suitable studies for data extraction. A total of 5,601 studies were initially identified based on... (More)
- This meta-analysis reviewed the literature on the relationship between confidence and accuracy in episodic memory, specifically focusing on crime- relevant event memory in free and cued recall. Despite extensive research in this area, an apparent gap was identified within memory research, as no prior meta-analysis has addressed the relationship between confidence and accuracy in the context of free and cued recall. To explore this relationship in a manner comparable to existing meta-analyses on recognition memory, four relevant databases were searched using predetermined search terms. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to identify suitable studies for data extraction. A total of 5,601 studies were initially identified based on titles and abstracts, with 101 full texts screened. The final sample comprised 30 studies for quantitative synthesis. Seventy-one studies were excluded due to heterogeneity in statistical measures used. The analysis revealed a moderately positive relationship between confidence and accuracy assessed by recall tasks and correlation measures, consistent with patterns observed in recognition memory. A small positive relationship was revealed when measured through calibration measures (over- and underconfidence), which was somewhat inconsistent in its weakness with patterns previously found in recognition memory. The limitations of the meta-analysis in terms of generalisability and potential biases are discussed. It is recommended to use independent reviewers and enhance methodological rigour. Possible routes for future research, such as exploring varied accuracy indicators in episodic recall and comparing calibration measures, may offer valuable insights for informing credibility assessments in the justice system. (Less)
- Abstract (Swedish)
- I en metaanalys granskades litteraturen om sambandet mellan konfidens och korrekthet i episodiskt minne, med särskilt fokus på minne för brottsrelaterade händelseförlopp vid fri och styrd återgivning. Trots omfattande forskning inom området identifierades en lucka inom forskningsfältet, då ingen tidigare meta- analys specifikt behandlat sambandet mellan konfidens och korrekthet för fri och styrd återgivning. För att undersöka detta samband på ett jämförbart sätt med befintliga metaanalyser om igenkänningsminne, söktes fyra databaser, relevanta för ämnet, med förutbestämda söktermer. Inklusions- och exklusionskriterier tillämpades för att identifiera lämpliga studier för dataextraktion. Totalt identifierades 5601 studier baserat på titlar... (More)
- I en metaanalys granskades litteraturen om sambandet mellan konfidens och korrekthet i episodiskt minne, med särskilt fokus på minne för brottsrelaterade händelseförlopp vid fri och styrd återgivning. Trots omfattande forskning inom området identifierades en lucka inom forskningsfältet, då ingen tidigare meta- analys specifikt behandlat sambandet mellan konfidens och korrekthet för fri och styrd återgivning. För att undersöka detta samband på ett jämförbart sätt med befintliga metaanalyser om igenkänningsminne, söktes fyra databaser, relevanta för ämnet, med förutbestämda söktermer. Inklusions- och exklusionskriterier tillämpades för att identifiera lämpliga studier för dataextraktion. Totalt identifierades 5601 studier baserat på titlar och sammanfattningar, av vilka 101 fulltexter granskades. Det slutliga urvalet för analysen bestod av 30 studier för kvantitativ syntes då 71 studier exkluderades på grund av heterogenitet i statistiska mått. Analysen visade ett måttligt positivt samband mellan konfidens och korrekthet vid återgivning, genom metaanalys för korrelationsmått, vilket stämmer överens med mönster som observerats i igenkänningsminne. En liten positiv relation visades genom metaanalys för kalibreringsmått (över- och underkonfidens), vilket skiljer sig något från tidigare mönster av starkare relationer som observerats i igenkänningsminne. Begränsningar i analysen gällande generaliserbarhet och risk för bias diskuteras. Rekommendationer kring användning av oberoende granskare liksom en ökad metodologisk noggrannhet ges. Framtida forskning gällande indikationer för korrekthet i episodiskt minne och vidare analys av olika kalibreringsmått kan skapa forskningsunderlag för att informera processer kring tillförlitlighetsbedömning av vittnesmål inom rättsväsendet. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/9172860
- author
- Bjerstedt, Erika LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- PSPR14 20241
- year
- 2024
- type
- H3 - Professional qualifications (4 Years - )
- subject
- keywords
- confidence, accuracy, episodic memory, free recall, cued recall, konfidens, korrekthet, episodiskt minne, fri återgivning, styrd återgivning
- language
- English
- id
- 9172860
- date added to LUP
- 2024-08-29 14:30:46
- date last changed
- 2024-08-29 14:30:46
@misc{9172860,
abstract = {{This meta-analysis reviewed the literature on the relationship between confidence and accuracy in episodic memory, specifically focusing on crime- relevant event memory in free and cued recall. Despite extensive research in this area, an apparent gap was identified within memory research, as no prior meta-analysis has addressed the relationship between confidence and accuracy in the context of free and cued recall. To explore this relationship in a manner comparable to existing meta-analyses on recognition memory, four relevant databases were searched using predetermined search terms. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to identify suitable studies for data extraction. A total of 5,601 studies were initially identified based on titles and abstracts, with 101 full texts screened. The final sample comprised 30 studies for quantitative synthesis. Seventy-one studies were excluded due to heterogeneity in statistical measures used. The analysis revealed a moderately positive relationship between confidence and accuracy assessed by recall tasks and correlation measures, consistent with patterns observed in recognition memory. A small positive relationship was revealed when measured through calibration measures (over- and underconfidence), which was somewhat inconsistent in its weakness with patterns previously found in recognition memory. The limitations of the meta-analysis in terms of generalisability and potential biases are discussed. It is recommended to use independent reviewers and enhance methodological rigour. Possible routes for future research, such as exploring varied accuracy indicators in episodic recall and comparing calibration measures, may offer valuable insights for informing credibility assessments in the justice system.}},
author = {{Bjerstedt, Erika}},
language = {{eng}},
note = {{Student Paper}},
title = {{In Certain Remembrance: a Meta-Analysis on the Relationship Between Confidence and Accuracy in Episodic Memory}},
year = {{2024}},
}