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A method of quantifying user uncertainty in FDS by using Monte Carlo analysis

Lindström, Tor LU and Lund, David LU (2009) In LUTVDG/TVBB-5309-SE VBR920 20091
Division of Fire Safety Engineering
Risk Management and Safety Engineering (M.Sc.Eng.)
Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety
Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety
Abstract
Several hundred FDS simulations have been run using Monte Carlo analysis and probability distributions of input variables. The simulations have been run to investigate the propagation of uncertainty from model inputs to outputs in order to quantify uncertainties that could arise due to the choices of an FDS user. A method has also been presented for performing FDS Monte Carlo analyses. The results show that a large degree of uncertainty can arise in output data due to the user and that this uncertainty can be quantified.
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author
Lindström, Tor LU and Lund, David LU
supervisor
organization
course
VBR920 20091
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
CFD, Computational fluid dynamics, Monte Carlo, Fire Dynamics Simulator, parallel computing, FDS, distributions, uncertainty, sensitivity analysis
publication/series
LUTVDG/TVBB-5309-SE
report number
5309
ISSN
1402-3504
language
English
id
1514895
date added to LUP
2010-03-30 09:33:11
date last changed
2020-12-03 14:26:04
@misc{1514895,
  abstract     = {Several hundred FDS simulations have been run using Monte Carlo analysis and probability distributions of input variables. The simulations have been run to investigate the propagation of uncertainty from model inputs to outputs in order to quantify uncertainties that could arise due to the choices of an FDS user. A method has also been presented for performing FDS Monte Carlo analyses. The results show that a large degree of uncertainty can arise in output data due to the user and that this uncertainty can be quantified.},
  author       = {Lindström, Tor and Lund, David},
  issn         = {1402-3504},
  keyword      = {CFD,Computational fluid dynamics,Monte Carlo,Fire Dynamics Simulator,parallel computing,FDS,distributions,uncertainty,sensitivity analysis},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  series       = {LUTVDG/TVBB-5309-SE},
  title        = {A method of quantifying user uncertainty in FDS by using Monte Carlo analysis},
  year         = {2009},
}