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RUSSIAN REGIONAL SCENARIOS OF FERTILITY RESPONSES TO MODERNIZATION, 1958-1978.

Shibaeva, Olga LU (2011) EKHR01 20101
Department of Economic History
Abstract (Swedish)
The link “modernization-fertility” is an important object for analysis. Modernization changes
every society economically, culturally, demographically. I analyze the empirical data for two
Russian regions based on Easterlin-Сrimmins theoretical model and make conclusions
concerning the strength of possible modernization-fertility relationship in Russia. I consider
gross fertility to investigate the nature of linkage between crude birth rate, infant mortality,
share of industrial workers in population, net migration and regional differences in fertility
response to modernization. The results show that despite regional differences in the speed and
scope of modernization, different initial starting points and cultural... (More)
The link “modernization-fertility” is an important object for analysis. Modernization changes
every society economically, culturally, demographically. I analyze the empirical data for two
Russian regions based on Easterlin-Сrimmins theoretical model and make conclusions
concerning the strength of possible modernization-fertility relationship in Russia. I consider
gross fertility to investigate the nature of linkage between crude birth rate, infant mortality,
share of industrial workers in population, net migration and regional differences in fertility
response to modernization. The results show that despite regional differences in the speed and
scope of modernization, different initial starting points and cultural background, two regions
have the same scenarios of fertility responses to modernization – the same trajectory of
development. Decline in infant mortality was important for fertility reduction. However,
opposite Easterlin and Crimmins, there is no evidence that high industrialization level
associates with lower gross fertility. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Shibaeva, Olga LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHR01 20101
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
keywords
modernization, fertility in Russia, fertility in XX century.
language
English
id
1977937
date added to LUP
2011-06-20 09:22:59
date last changed
2011-06-20 09:22:59
@misc{1977937,
  abstract     = {The link “modernization-fertility” is an important object for analysis. Modernization changes 
every society economically, culturally, demographically. I analyze the empirical data for two 
Russian regions based on Easterlin-Сrimmins theoretical model and make conclusions 
concerning  the  strength of possible modernization-fertility relationship  in Russia.  I consider 
gross fertility to  investigate the nature of linkage between crude birth rate, infant mortality, 
share of industrial workers in population, net migration  and regional differences in fertility 
response to modernization. The results show that despite regional differences in the speed and 
scope of modernization, different  initial starting points and cultural background,  two regions 
have the same  scenarios  of fertility responses to modernization  –  the same  trajectory  of 
development.  Decline in infant  mortality  was important for fertility reduction. However, 
opposite Easterlin and Crimmins, there is no evidence  that  high industrialization level 
associates with lower gross fertility.},
  author       = {Shibaeva, Olga},
  keyword      = {modernization,fertility in Russia,fertility in XX century.},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {RUSSIAN REGIONAL SCENARIOS OF FERTILITY RESPONSES TO MODERNIZATION, 1958-1978.},
  year         = {2011},
}