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Kenya development scenarios 2030

Månsson, Johan LU (2016) STVM20 20152
Department of Political Science
Abstract (Swedish)
This study applies the Scenario method developed by the Royal Dutch Shell Corporation to the work of Swedish development organization SIDA and its work in Kenya. The Study is an attempt to show alternate ways for the development sector to handle long term planning, risk and uncertainty in an increasingly complex world as well as dealing with the increased constraints to their resources. The study constructs three future scenarios for Kenya in 2030, based on the current political and economic situation of the country using the Trilemma triangle method explained in the Shell Global Scenarios to 2025. The three scenarios constructed show how Kenya handles the dual crisis of security and trust in different ways given the dominant forces at... (More)
This study applies the Scenario method developed by the Royal Dutch Shell Corporation to the work of Swedish development organization SIDA and its work in Kenya. The Study is an attempt to show alternate ways for the development sector to handle long term planning, risk and uncertainty in an increasingly complex world as well as dealing with the increased constraints to their resources. The study constructs three future scenarios for Kenya in 2030, based on the current political and economic situation of the country using the Trilemma triangle method explained in the Shell Global Scenarios to 2025. The three scenarios constructed show how Kenya handles the dual crisis of security and trust in different ways given the dominant forces at play within the scenarios. The study finds that the scenario method is well suited for both shorter and longer term strategic planning for development organizations and that the Shell scenario model can be a useful tool outside of the private sector. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Månsson, Johan LU
supervisor
organization
course
STVM20 20152
year
type
H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
subject
keywords
Development, Shell, Scenario, Kenya, SIDA
language
English
id
8513965
date added to LUP
2017-11-22 12:05:28
date last changed
2017-11-22 12:05:28
@misc{8513965,
  abstract     = {This study applies the Scenario method developed by the Royal Dutch Shell Corporation to the work of Swedish development organization SIDA and its work in Kenya. The Study is an attempt to show alternate ways for the development sector to handle long term planning, risk and uncertainty in an increasingly complex world as well as dealing with the increased constraints to their resources. The study constructs three future scenarios for Kenya in 2030, based on the current political and economic situation of the country using the Trilemma triangle method explained in the Shell Global Scenarios to 2025. The three scenarios constructed show how Kenya handles the dual crisis of security and trust in different ways given the dominant forces at play within the scenarios. The study finds that the scenario method is well suited for both shorter and longer term strategic planning for development organizations and that the Shell scenario model can be a useful tool outside of the private sector.},
  author       = {Månsson, Johan},
  keyword      = {Development,Shell,Scenario,Kenya,SIDA},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  title        = {Kenya development scenarios 2030},
  year         = {2016},
}