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Expect the Unexpected: Measuring Noise & Bias in the Credit Assessment Process

Skoglund, Jacob LU ; Ekberg, Leonard LU and Govenius, Pontus LU (2022) FEKH39 20212
Department of Business Administration
Abstract
The purpose of the thesis is to measure how bias impacts loan officers’ decision-making upon assessing mortgage applications and the level of noise embedded within the process. Quantitative data were collected from 15 loan officers working at three different branches at Handelsbanken answering a questionnaire based on fictional mortgage applications. The statistical analysis used an unpaired t-test and the relative approximation error to assess bias and noise respectively. We found large levels of noise within loan officers’ credit assessments that impact loan officers’ decision-making capabilities regarding credit granted, the interest rate given, and the risk perceived with the applications. Furthermore, the findings also illustrated the... (More)
The purpose of the thesis is to measure how bias impacts loan officers’ decision-making upon assessing mortgage applications and the level of noise embedded within the process. Quantitative data were collected from 15 loan officers working at three different branches at Handelsbanken answering a questionnaire based on fictional mortgage applications. The statistical analysis used an unpaired t-test and the relative approximation error to assess bias and noise respectively. We found large levels of noise within loan officers’ credit assessments that impact loan officers’ decision-making capabilities regarding credit granted, the interest rate given, and the risk perceived with the applications. Furthermore, the findings also illustrated the impact of bias as loan officers perceive applicants with socially less prestigious occupations as riskier than applicants with socially considered more prestigious occupations. The theoretical contributions of this study further enhance our understanding of human decision-making and more specifically how and to what extent bias and noise impact the credit assessment process. The main implications of these findings are that households that are applying for a mortgage can likely expect large variations in the amount of credit they can borrow and at what interest rate. Additionally, the empirical findings imply that loan officers’ assessment of the applicant's creditworthiness can be viewed as subjective despite relying on standardized credit policies. (Less)
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author
Skoglund, Jacob LU ; Ekberg, Leonard LU and Govenius, Pontus LU
supervisor
organization
course
FEKH39 20212
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
mortgage, credit assessment, loan officer, decision-making, bias, noise, kreditgivningsprocess, kredithandläggare, beslutsfattande
language
English
id
9075284
date added to LUP
2022-02-14 13:44:47
date last changed
2022-02-14 13:44:47
@misc{9075284,
  abstract     = {{The purpose of the thesis is to measure how bias impacts loan officers’ decision-making upon assessing mortgage applications and the level of noise embedded within the process. Quantitative data were collected from 15 loan officers working at three different branches at Handelsbanken answering a questionnaire based on fictional mortgage applications. The statistical analysis used an unpaired t-test and the relative approximation error to assess bias and noise respectively. We found large levels of noise within loan officers’ credit assessments that impact loan officers’ decision-making capabilities regarding credit granted, the interest rate given, and the risk perceived with the applications. Furthermore, the findings also illustrated the impact of bias as loan officers perceive applicants with socially less prestigious occupations as riskier than applicants with socially considered more prestigious occupations. The theoretical contributions of this study further enhance our understanding of human decision-making and more specifically how and to what extent bias and noise impact the credit assessment process. The main implications of these findings are that households that are applying for a mortgage can likely expect large variations in the amount of credit they can borrow and at what interest rate. Additionally, the empirical findings imply that loan officers’ assessment of the applicant's creditworthiness can be viewed as subjective despite relying on standardized credit policies.}},
  author       = {{Skoglund, Jacob and Ekberg, Leonard and Govenius, Pontus}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Expect the Unexpected: Measuring Noise & Bias in the Credit Assessment Process}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}