Skip to main content

LUP Student Papers

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Climatic complexity: how do early life weather shocks affect labour income?

Ortega Carrillo, Julio LU (2022) EKHS42 20221
Department of Economic History
Abstract (Swedish)
This thesis explores the impact of extreme weather events during
gestation and infancy on multiple outcomes, especially early labour income. The
subjects are Indian children born between 1993/94 from the Young Lives longitudinal study. The weather shocks are extracted from the NOAA geo-referenced
weather data. Thanks to Mediation Analysis methodology applied, not only the
Direct Effects of early life weather shocks on income can be studied, but also the
pathways that these shocks follow to impact income. The pathways, or mediators,
considered here are physical and physiological health, cognitive level, educational
attainment and child labour. The results suggest that suffering low temperatures in
utero directly increase income at... (More)
This thesis explores the impact of extreme weather events during
gestation and infancy on multiple outcomes, especially early labour income. The
subjects are Indian children born between 1993/94 from the Young Lives longitudinal study. The weather shocks are extracted from the NOAA geo-referenced
weather data. Thanks to Mediation Analysis methodology applied, not only the
Direct Effects of early life weather shocks on income can be studied, but also the
pathways that these shocks follow to impact income. The pathways, or mediators,
considered here are physical and physiological health, cognitive level, educational
attainment and child labour. The results suggest that suffering low temperatures in
utero directly increase income at age 22 while suffering during infancy decreases it. Although there is no Direct Effect of rainfall shocks on income, it is observed that these have profound Indirect Effects on children’s outcomes, primarily through the educational attainment and child labour mediators. In addition, multiple differential effects by gender, trimester of gestation and season of the year are provided to enhance the understanding of these effects. The evidence is robust to changes in the definition of weather shocks. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Ortega Carrillo, Julio LU
supervisor
organization
course
EKHS42 20221
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Foetal origins hypothesis, Mediation Analysis, weather shocks, Young Lives.
language
English
id
9093168
date added to LUP
2022-06-28 10:17:42
date last changed
2022-06-28 10:17:42
@misc{9093168,
  abstract     = {{This thesis explores the impact of extreme weather events during
gestation and infancy on multiple outcomes, especially early labour income. The
subjects are Indian children born between 1993/94 from the Young Lives longitudinal study. The weather shocks are extracted from the NOAA geo-referenced
weather data. Thanks to Mediation Analysis methodology applied, not only the
Direct Effects of early life weather shocks on income can be studied, but also the
pathways that these shocks follow to impact income. The pathways, or mediators,
considered here are physical and physiological health, cognitive level, educational
attainment and child labour. The results suggest that suffering low temperatures in
utero directly increase income at age 22 while suffering during infancy decreases it. Although there is no Direct Effect of rainfall shocks on income, it is observed that these have profound Indirect Effects on children’s outcomes, primarily through the educational attainment and child labour mediators. In addition, multiple differential effects by gender, trimester of gestation and season of the year are provided to enhance the understanding of these effects. The evidence is robust to changes in the definition of weather shocks.}},
  author       = {{Ortega Carrillo, Julio}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Climatic complexity: how do early life weather shocks affect labour income?}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}