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Voting Behavior in the Aftermath of Earthquakes in Turkey

Ahmadli, Sanan LU (2024) SIMZ41 20241
Graduate School
Abstract
In democracies, elections are events in which the public evaluates not only the promises for the coming years, but also the actions of the past period. When an incident adversely affects the welfare of all or part of a society, such as an economic crisis or a natural disaster, the general expectation according to the retrospective voting theory is that society will punish those responsible through elections. However, the incumbents in Turkey were reelected only 3 months after the deadly earthquakes in 2023. In this study, by conducting semi-structured in-depth interviews in Hatay province, which received the most severe damage, I conclude that people’s voting behaviors in reelecting incumbents were largely affected by the role of the... (More)
In democracies, elections are events in which the public evaluates not only the promises for the coming years, but also the actions of the past period. When an incident adversely affects the welfare of all or part of a society, such as an economic crisis or a natural disaster, the general expectation according to the retrospective voting theory is that society will punish those responsible through elections. However, the incumbents in Turkey were reelected only 3 months after the deadly earthquakes in 2023. In this study, by conducting semi-structured in-depth interviews in Hatay province, which received the most severe damage, I conclude that people’s voting behaviors in reelecting incumbents were largely affected by the role of the state, the ideas it spread, and the aid it provided in return of votes. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Ahmadli, Sanan LU
supervisor
organization
course
SIMZ41 20241
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
#votingpreferences, #votingbehavior, #disaster, #turkey, #election
language
English
id
9163582
date added to LUP
2024-06-26 12:30:49
date last changed
2024-06-26 12:30:49
@misc{9163582,
  abstract     = {{In democracies, elections are events in which the public evaluates not only the promises for the coming years, but also the actions of the past period. When an incident adversely affects the welfare of all or part of a society, such as an economic crisis or a natural disaster, the general expectation according to the retrospective voting theory is that society will punish those responsible through elections. However, the incumbents in Turkey were reelected only 3 months after the deadly earthquakes in 2023. In this study, by conducting semi-structured in-depth interviews in Hatay province, which received the most severe damage, I conclude that people’s voting behaviors in reelecting incumbents were largely affected by the role of the state, the ideas it spread, and the aid it provided in return of votes.}},
  author       = {{Ahmadli, Sanan}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Voting Behavior in the Aftermath of Earthquakes in Turkey}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}