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Keep Quiet and Nobody Gets Hurt

Lilover, Luukas LU and Filén, Wilmer LU (2026) UNDK02 20252
Department of Political Science
Abstract
In this essay we examine intelligence cooperation between Finland and Sweden
during the time period 1943-1948 to test a proposed theory of intelligence sharing
by Brown & Farrington. This theory posits that intelligence sharing will occur if
three prerequisites are present, labelled Reason, Route and Record. We use
archival material in addition to previous historical research to investigate
intelligence sharing in our case empirically. A congruential analysis is then
applied to test the theory against the empirical findings. Our findings are that
intelligence sharing took place during the years 1943-1945, but not during the
years 1946-1948. We find that Brown & Farrington’s theory is largely able to
explain this change, but we... (More)
In this essay we examine intelligence cooperation between Finland and Sweden
during the time period 1943-1948 to test a proposed theory of intelligence sharing
by Brown & Farrington. This theory posits that intelligence sharing will occur if
three prerequisites are present, labelled Reason, Route and Record. We use
archival material in addition to previous historical research to investigate
intelligence sharing in our case empirically. A congruential analysis is then
applied to test the theory against the empirical findings. Our findings are that
intelligence sharing took place during the years 1943-1945, but not during the
years 1946-1948. We find that Brown & Farrington’s theory is largely able to
explain this change, but we also identify several aspects of the theory requiring
further development. There can be specific reasons not to share intelligence, not
merely an absence of reasons to share intelligence. Furthermore, the components
of Reason are difficult to compare when they give conflicting indications and
could be more precisely defined. Finally, there is a need for a more precise
definition of intelligence sharing, as presently there is no differentiation between
authorized and unauthorized intelligence sharing. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Lilover, Luukas LU and Filén, Wilmer LU
supervisor
organization
alternative title
Investigating the Decline of the Swedish-Finnish Intelligence Sharing Relationship 1943-1948
course
UNDK02 20252
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Intelligence sharing, Nordic cooperation, Finlandization, Small states’ intelligence, Second World War
language
English
id
9218235
date added to LUP
2026-02-20 11:02:51
date last changed
2026-02-20 11:02:51
@misc{9218235,
  abstract     = {{In this essay we examine intelligence cooperation between Finland and Sweden
during the time period 1943-1948 to test a proposed theory of intelligence sharing
by Brown & Farrington. This theory posits that intelligence sharing will occur if
three prerequisites are present, labelled Reason, Route and Record. We use
archival material in addition to previous historical research to investigate
intelligence sharing in our case empirically. A congruential analysis is then
applied to test the theory against the empirical findings. Our findings are that
intelligence sharing took place during the years 1943-1945, but not during the
years 1946-1948. We find that Brown & Farrington’s theory is largely able to
explain this change, but we also identify several aspects of the theory requiring
further development. There can be specific reasons not to share intelligence, not
merely an absence of reasons to share intelligence. Furthermore, the components
of Reason are difficult to compare when they give conflicting indications and
could be more precisely defined. Finally, there is a need for a more precise
definition of intelligence sharing, as presently there is no differentiation between
authorized and unauthorized intelligence sharing.}},
  author       = {{Lilover, Luukas and Filén, Wilmer}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Keep Quiet and Nobody Gets Hurt}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}