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Risk analysis and fire safety engineering

Frantzich, Håkan LU (1998) In Fire Safety Journal 31(4). p.313-329
Abstract
The paper demonstrates how two quantitative risk analysis (QRA) methods may be used to evaluate the risk to which the occupants of a building may be subjected if a fire breaks out. The methods (standard QRA and extended QRA) differ in terms of how uncertainties in the variables are considered. The extended QRA explicitly considers uncertainty as it is a part of the methodology. The standard QRA has to be complemented with a sensitivity analysis to fully provide insight into the uncertainty inherent in the scenario. Both methods are applied to a calculation example determining the societal risk for a hospital ward. The analyses are performed as Monte Carlo simulations.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Monte Carlo, Risk evaluation, Risk analysis, Event tree, Fire, Evacuation
in
Fire Safety Journal
volume
31
issue
4
pages
313 - 329
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • Scopus:0007473910
ISSN
0379-7112
DOI
10.1016/S0379-7112(98)00021-6
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
1d50831e-5ddd-4c34-b89b-f7482dafaaa6 (old id 783764)
date added to LUP
2010-08-24 16:58:13
date last changed
2016-10-13 04:39:22
@misc{1d50831e-5ddd-4c34-b89b-f7482dafaaa6,
  abstract     = {The paper demonstrates how two quantitative risk analysis (QRA) methods may be used to evaluate the risk to which the occupants of a building may be subjected if a fire breaks out. The methods (standard QRA and extended QRA) differ in terms of how uncertainties in the variables are considered. The extended QRA explicitly considers uncertainty as it is a part of the methodology. The standard QRA has to be complemented with a sensitivity analysis to fully provide insight into the uncertainty inherent in the scenario. Both methods are applied to a calculation example determining the societal risk for a hospital ward. The analyses are performed as Monte Carlo simulations.},
  author       = {Frantzich, Håkan},
  issn         = {0379-7112},
  keyword      = {Monte Carlo,Risk evaluation,Risk analysis,Event tree,Fire,Evacuation},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {313--329},
  publisher    = {ARRAY(0x90aebf0)},
  series       = {Fire Safety Journal},
  title        = {Risk analysis and fire safety engineering},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0379-7112(98)00021-6},
  volume       = {31},
  year         = {1998},
}