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Uncertainties in evacuation modelling: Current flaws and future improvements

Tavares, Machado and Ronchi, Enrico LU (2015) 6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015 In [Host publication title missing] p.185-196
Abstract
During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such... (More)
During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Evacuation, modelling, Egress, uncertainty
in
[Host publication title missing]
editor
Boyce, Karen
pages
185 - 196
publisher
Interscience Communications
conference name
6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015
ISBN
978-0-9933933-0-3
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
31ba4bef-5fde-4f7f-9b7a-392ec3fce885 (old id 8057112)
date added to LUP
2015-10-20 14:20:33
date last changed
2016-06-30 16:21:46
@misc{31ba4bef-5fde-4f7f-9b7a-392ec3fce885,
  abstract     = {During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis.},
  author       = {Tavares, Machado and Ronchi, Enrico},
  editor       = {Boyce, Karen},
  isbn         = {978-0-9933933-0-3},
  keyword      = {Evacuation,modelling,Egress,uncertainty},
  language     = {eng},
  pages        = {185--196},
  publisher    = {ARRAY(0x952ecb0)},
  series       = {[Host publication title missing]},
  title        = {Uncertainties in evacuation modelling: Current flaws and future improvements},
  year         = {2015},
}