Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California : Adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate change considering simultaneously warming effects on energy supply and demand
(2010) In TVVR10/5007 VVR820 20101Division of Water Resources Engineering
- Abstract
- High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using... (More)
- High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California’s Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/1718168
- author
- Guégan, Marion LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- VVR820 20101
- year
- 2010
- type
- H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
- subject
- keywords
- Energy Demand and Pricing, California, Climate Change, Hydropower, Artificial Neural Network, Electricity Generation
- publication/series
- TVVR10/5007
- report number
- 10/5007
- ISSN
- 1101-9824
- language
- English
- additional info
- Examiner: Rolf Larsson
- id
- 1718168
- date added to LUP
- 2010-11-18 09:21:59
- date last changed
- 2019-03-27 11:19:27
@misc{1718168, abstract = {{High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California’s Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change.}}, author = {{Guégan, Marion}}, issn = {{1101-9824}}, language = {{eng}}, note = {{Student Paper}}, series = {{TVVR10/5007}}, title = {{Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California : Adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate change considering simultaneously warming effects on energy supply and demand}}, year = {{2010}}, }