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How the key factors will affect the market trading behaviors in Crude Oil Futures Market:An analysis on convenience yield, inventory level and price volatility.

Fang, Sichao LU (2018) BUSN79 20181
Department of Business Administration
Abstract (Swedish)
The paper focuses on three key factors in WTI crude oil futures market: Convenience yield, inventory level and price volatility. The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the relation between those three key factors and analyze how those key factors will affect the market trading behaviors. Market trading behaviors could be measured from various aspects though, our paper will use open interest, long & short position volume held by crude oil traders and long & short position held by money managers as dependent variables and to represent the market trading behaviors. Our empirical results have proved that the relation between the three factors is consistent with previous theories by using the most recent data. E.g. Convenience yield... (More)
The paper focuses on three key factors in WTI crude oil futures market: Convenience yield, inventory level and price volatility. The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the relation between those three key factors and analyze how those key factors will affect the market trading behaviors. Market trading behaviors could be measured from various aspects though, our paper will use open interest, long & short position volume held by crude oil traders and long & short position held by money managers as dependent variables and to represent the market trading behaviors. Our empirical results have proved that the relation between the three factors is consistent with previous theories by using the most recent data. E.g. Convenience yield keeps a negative relation with Inventory level. However, our results showing how the key factors would affect the market trading behaviors are beyond our expectations. To summarize, convenience yield and inventory level indicate positive effects on dependent variables while price volatility mostly has negative impact on the dependent variables except for short position volume held by money managers. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Fang, Sichao LU
supervisor
organization
course
BUSN79 20181
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Keywords: Convenience yield, Inventory level, Volatility, Open interest, Long & Short positions, Crude oil traders, Money managers
language
English
id
8962527
date added to LUP
2019-01-16 12:12:30
date last changed
2019-01-16 12:12:30
@misc{8962527,
  abstract     = {{The paper focuses on three key factors in WTI crude oil futures market: Convenience yield, inventory level and price volatility. The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the relation between those three key factors and analyze how those key factors will affect the market trading behaviors. Market trading behaviors could be measured from various aspects though, our paper will use open interest, long & short position volume held by crude oil traders and long & short position held by money managers as dependent variables and to represent the market trading behaviors. Our empirical results have proved that the relation between the three factors is consistent with previous theories by using the most recent data. E.g. Convenience yield keeps a negative relation with Inventory level. However, our results showing how the key factors would affect the market trading behaviors are beyond our expectations. To summarize, convenience yield and inventory level indicate positive effects on dependent variables while price volatility mostly has negative impact on the dependent variables except for short position volume held by money managers.}},
  author       = {{Fang, Sichao}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{How the key factors will affect the market trading behaviors in Crude Oil Futures Market:An analysis on convenience yield, inventory level and price volatility.}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}