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Exploring reversibility and contrasting patterns in temperature–size relationships across spatial and temporal scales using subfossil chironomids

Belle, Simon ; Matera, Tymoteusz ; Liiv, Merlin ; Stivrins, Normunds ; Poska, Anneli LU ; Heinsalu, Atko and Mckie, Brendan G. (2025) In Oikos 2025(10).
Abstract

The extent to which different magnitudes and directions of temperature fluctuations explain long-term trends in aquatic invertebrate body size is largely unknown. Using elevational gradients and paleolimnological reconstructions, we tested the hypotheses that the size of subfossil chironomid (non-biting midges) head capsules (HCs) will covary with temperature changes, with opposite morphometric changes occurring during warming and cooling phases, and that body size variation can be modified by other environmental conditions unassociated with temperature variations. Results indicated that the effects of increasing temperatures on chironomid HC size were reversed when temperatures decreased, with both warming and cooling producing similar... (More)

The extent to which different magnitudes and directions of temperature fluctuations explain long-term trends in aquatic invertebrate body size is largely unknown. Using elevational gradients and paleolimnological reconstructions, we tested the hypotheses that the size of subfossil chironomid (non-biting midges) head capsules (HCs) will covary with temperature changes, with opposite morphometric changes occurring during warming and cooling phases, and that body size variation can be modified by other environmental conditions unassociated with temperature variations. Results indicated that the effects of increasing temperatures on chironomid HC size were reversed when temperatures decreased, with both warming and cooling producing similar effect sizes, corresponding to a change in HC length of ~ 3% per 1°C. Additionally, our results showed that other environmental drivers can mask temperature effects on chironomid HC sizes. Specifically, we found that bottom water oxygen concentration was negatively associated with HC lengths of Chironomus anthracinus-type. We hypothesize that this pattern is driven by prolonged larval development in oxygen-depleted lakes and/or changes in basal food sources used by chironomid larvae, ultimately affecting their final body size. Future research should focus on disentangling the multiple drivers that control body size in aquatic insects, given their potential to either enhance or confound the temperature–size relationship, to improve our mechanistic understanding of aquatic insect size variation over long timescales.

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; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Body size variation, chironomidae, climate change, paleolimnology, phenotypic plasticity
in
Oikos
volume
2025
issue
10
article number
e11370
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • scopus:105009604929
ISSN
0030-1299
DOI
10.1002/oik.11370
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s). Oikos published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Society Oikos.
id
01cf606d-5459-4495-9bce-352db7d574b9
date added to LUP
2026-01-26 13:57:38
date last changed
2026-01-27 08:55:29
@article{01cf606d-5459-4495-9bce-352db7d574b9,
  abstract     = {{<p>The extent to which different magnitudes and directions of temperature fluctuations explain long-term trends in aquatic invertebrate body size is largely unknown. Using elevational gradients and paleolimnological reconstructions, we tested the hypotheses that the size of subfossil chironomid (non-biting midges) head capsules (HCs) will covary with temperature changes, with opposite morphometric changes occurring during warming and cooling phases, and that body size variation can be modified by other environmental conditions unassociated with temperature variations. Results indicated that the effects of increasing temperatures on chironomid HC size were reversed when temperatures decreased, with both warming and cooling producing similar effect sizes, corresponding to a change in HC length of ~ 3% per 1°C. Additionally, our results showed that other environmental drivers can mask temperature effects on chironomid HC sizes. Specifically, we found that bottom water oxygen concentration was negatively associated with HC lengths of Chironomus anthracinus-type. We hypothesize that this pattern is driven by prolonged larval development in oxygen-depleted lakes and/or changes in basal food sources used by chironomid larvae, ultimately affecting their final body size. Future research should focus on disentangling the multiple drivers that control body size in aquatic insects, given their potential to either enhance or confound the temperature–size relationship, to improve our mechanistic understanding of aquatic insect size variation over long timescales.</p>}},
  author       = {{Belle, Simon and Matera, Tymoteusz and Liiv, Merlin and Stivrins, Normunds and Poska, Anneli and Heinsalu, Atko and Mckie, Brendan G.}},
  issn         = {{0030-1299}},
  keywords     = {{Body size variation; chironomidae; climate change; paleolimnology; phenotypic plasticity}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{10}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Oikos}},
  title        = {{Exploring reversibility and contrasting patterns in temperature–size relationships across spatial and temporal scales using subfossil chironomids}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/oik.11370}},
  doi          = {{10.1002/oik.11370}},
  volume       = {{2025}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}