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LARCalc, a tool to estimate sex- and age-specific lifetime attributable risk in populations after nuclear power plant fallout

Sundström, Jonathan ; Isaksson, Mats and Rääf, Christopher L. LU orcid (2023) In Scientific Reports 13(1).
Abstract

A tool called LARCalc, for calculating the radiological consequences of accidental large scale nuclear power plant releases based on estimates of 137Cs ground deposition, is presented. LARCalc is based on a previously developed models that has been further developed and packaged into an easy-to-use decision support tool for training of decision makers. The software visualises the radiological impact of accidental nuclear power plant releases and the effects of various protective measures. It is thus intended as a rapid alternative for planning protective measures in emergency preparedness management. The tool predicts projected cumulative effective dose, projected lifetime attributable cancer risk, and residual dose for some... (More)

A tool called LARCalc, for calculating the radiological consequences of accidental large scale nuclear power plant releases based on estimates of 137Cs ground deposition, is presented. LARCalc is based on a previously developed models that has been further developed and packaged into an easy-to-use decision support tool for training of decision makers. The software visualises the radiological impact of accidental nuclear power plant releases and the effects of various protective measures. It is thus intended as a rapid alternative for planning protective measures in emergency preparedness management. The tool predicts projected cumulative effective dose, projected lifetime attributable cancer risk, and residual dose for some default accidental release scenarios. Furthermore, it can predict the residual dose and avertable cumulative lifetime attributable risk (LAR) resulting from various protective measures such as evacuation and decontamination. It can also be used to predict the avertable collective dose and the increase in cancer incidence within the specified population. This study presents the theoretical models and updates to the previous models, and examples of different nuclear fallout scenarios and subsequent protective actions to illustrate the potential use of LARCalc.

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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Scientific Reports
volume
13
issue
1
article number
21244
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • pmid:38040734
  • scopus:85178359961
ISSN
2045-2322
DOI
10.1038/s41598-023-46964-6
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
01e62b69-4991-47b6-9a5c-b47507f9848c
date added to LUP
2023-12-20 13:35:28
date last changed
2024-06-14 04:22:28
@article{01e62b69-4991-47b6-9a5c-b47507f9848c,
  abstract     = {{<p>A tool called LARCalc, for calculating the radiological consequences of accidental large scale nuclear power plant releases based on estimates of <sup>137</sup>Cs ground deposition, is presented. LARCalc is based on a previously developed models that has been further developed and packaged into an easy-to-use decision support tool for training of decision makers. The software visualises the radiological impact of accidental nuclear power plant releases and the effects of various protective measures. It is thus intended as a rapid alternative for planning protective measures in emergency preparedness management. The tool predicts projected cumulative effective dose, projected lifetime attributable cancer risk, and residual dose for some default accidental release scenarios. Furthermore, it can predict the residual dose and avertable cumulative lifetime attributable risk (LAR) resulting from various protective measures such as evacuation and decontamination. It can also be used to predict the avertable collective dose and the increase in cancer incidence within the specified population. This study presents the theoretical models and updates to the previous models, and examples of different nuclear fallout scenarios and subsequent protective actions to illustrate the potential use of LARCalc.</p>}},
  author       = {{Sundström, Jonathan and Isaksson, Mats and Rääf, Christopher L.}},
  issn         = {{2045-2322}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Scientific Reports}},
  title        = {{LARCalc, a tool to estimate sex- and age-specific lifetime attributable risk in populations after nuclear power plant fallout}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-46964-6}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41598-023-46964-6}},
  volume       = {{13}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}