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Early Prostate Cancer Deaths among Men with Higher vs Lower Genetic Risk

Plym, Anna LU ; Zhang, Yiwen ; Stopsack, Konrad H. ; Ugalde-Morales, Emilio ; Seibert, Tyler M. ; Conti, David V. ; Haiman, Christopher A. ; Baras, Aris ; Stocks, Tanja LU and Drake, Isabel LU , et al. (2024) In JAMA Network Open 7(7). p.2420034-2420034
Abstract

Importance: Prostate cancer, a leading cause of cancer death among men, urgently requires new prevention strategies, which may involve targeting men with an underlying genetic susceptibility. Objective: To explore differences in risk of early prostate cancer death among men with higher vs lower genetic risk to inform prevention efforts. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a combined analysis of genotyped men without prostate cancer at inclusion and with lifestyle data in 2 prospective cohort studies in Sweden and the US, the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS), followed up from 1991 to 2019. Data were analyzed between April 2023 and April 2024. Exposures: Men were... (More)

Importance: Prostate cancer, a leading cause of cancer death among men, urgently requires new prevention strategies, which may involve targeting men with an underlying genetic susceptibility. Objective: To explore differences in risk of early prostate cancer death among men with higher vs lower genetic risk to inform prevention efforts. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a combined analysis of genotyped men without prostate cancer at inclusion and with lifestyle data in 2 prospective cohort studies in Sweden and the US, the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS), followed up from 1991 to 2019. Data were analyzed between April 2023 and April 2024. Exposures: Men were categorized according to modifiable lifestyle behaviors and genetic risk. A polygenic risk score above the median or a family history of cancer defined men at higher genetic risk (67% of the study population); the remaining men were categorized as being at lower genetic risk. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prostate cancer death analyzed using time-to-event analysis estimating hazard ratios (HR), absolute risks, and preventable deaths by age. Results: Among the 19607 men included for analysis, the median (IQR) age at inclusion was 59.0 (53.0-64.7) years (MDCS) and 65.1 (58.0-71.8) years (HPFS). During follow-up, 107 early (by age 75 years) and 337 late (after age 75 years) prostate cancer deaths were observed. Compared with men at lower genetic risk, men at higher genetic risk had increased rates of both early (HR, 3.26; 95% CI, 1.82-5.84) and late (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.70-3.01) prostate cancer death, and higher lifetime risks of prostate cancer death (3.1% vs 1.3% [MDCS] and 2.3% vs 0.6% [HPFS]). Men at higher genetic risk accounted for 94 of 107 early prostate cancer deaths (88%), of which 36% (95% CI, 12%-60%) were estimated to be preventable through adherence to behaviors associated with a healthy lifestyle (not smoking, healthy weight, high physical activity, and a healthy diet). Conclusions and Relevance: In this 20-year follow-up study, men with a genetic predisposition accounted for the vast majority of early prostate cancer deaths, of which one-third were estimated to be preventable. This suggests that men at increased genetic risk should be targeted in prostate cancer prevention strategies.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
JAMA Network Open
volume
7
issue
7
pages
2420034 - 2420034
publisher
American Medical Association
external identifiers
  • scopus:85197702525
  • pmid:38958976
ISSN
2574-3805
DOI
10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.20034
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
0316d39d-c821-4440-80cc-e3a1ad2e7694
date added to LUP
2024-09-24 14:36:58
date last changed
2024-09-25 03:00:04
@article{0316d39d-c821-4440-80cc-e3a1ad2e7694,
  abstract     = {{<p>Importance: Prostate cancer, a leading cause of cancer death among men, urgently requires new prevention strategies, which may involve targeting men with an underlying genetic susceptibility. Objective: To explore differences in risk of early prostate cancer death among men with higher vs lower genetic risk to inform prevention efforts. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a combined analysis of genotyped men without prostate cancer at inclusion and with lifestyle data in 2 prospective cohort studies in Sweden and the US, the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS), followed up from 1991 to 2019. Data were analyzed between April 2023 and April 2024. Exposures: Men were categorized according to modifiable lifestyle behaviors and genetic risk. A polygenic risk score above the median or a family history of cancer defined men at higher genetic risk (67% of the study population); the remaining men were categorized as being at lower genetic risk. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prostate cancer death analyzed using time-to-event analysis estimating hazard ratios (HR), absolute risks, and preventable deaths by age. Results: Among the 19607 men included for analysis, the median (IQR) age at inclusion was 59.0 (53.0-64.7) years (MDCS) and 65.1 (58.0-71.8) years (HPFS). During follow-up, 107 early (by age 75 years) and 337 late (after age 75 years) prostate cancer deaths were observed. Compared with men at lower genetic risk, men at higher genetic risk had increased rates of both early (HR, 3.26; 95% CI, 1.82-5.84) and late (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.70-3.01) prostate cancer death, and higher lifetime risks of prostate cancer death (3.1% vs 1.3% [MDCS] and 2.3% vs 0.6% [HPFS]). Men at higher genetic risk accounted for 94 of 107 early prostate cancer deaths (88%), of which 36% (95% CI, 12%-60%) were estimated to be preventable through adherence to behaviors associated with a healthy lifestyle (not smoking, healthy weight, high physical activity, and a healthy diet). Conclusions and Relevance: In this 20-year follow-up study, men with a genetic predisposition accounted for the vast majority of early prostate cancer deaths, of which one-third were estimated to be preventable. This suggests that men at increased genetic risk should be targeted in prostate cancer prevention strategies.</p>}},
  author       = {{Plym, Anna and Zhang, Yiwen and Stopsack, Konrad H. and Ugalde-Morales, Emilio and Seibert, Tyler M. and Conti, David V. and Haiman, Christopher A. and Baras, Aris and Stocks, Tanja and Drake, Isabel and Penney, Kathryn L. and Giovannucci, Edward and Kibel, Adam S. and Wiklund, Fredrik and Mucci, Lorelei A.}},
  issn         = {{2574-3805}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{7}},
  pages        = {{2420034--2420034}},
  publisher    = {{American Medical Association}},
  series       = {{JAMA Network Open}},
  title        = {{Early Prostate Cancer Deaths among Men with Higher vs Lower Genetic Risk}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.20034}},
  doi          = {{10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.20034}},
  volume       = {{7}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}