Alarm characteristics for a flood warning system with deterministic components
(1990) In Journal of Time Series Analysis 11(1). p.1-18- Abstract
- A method for evaluating a predictor-based alarm system is studied in this paper. The predictor is composed of a deterministic component reflecting external information and a statistically based component for the error between the measurements and the external predictor. The aim of the predictor study is twofold: it is a means of interpreting the connections between the alarm and the catastrophe, and it can be used to select suitable alarm levels. As an application, the performance of a water-level predictor as part of a flood warning system has been evaluated. The result of this analysis shows that an alarm system which operates when the predictor reaches a certain level will tend to give either too many alarms or alarms that are out of... (More)
- A method for evaluating a predictor-based alarm system is studied in this paper. The predictor is composed of a deterministic component reflecting external information and a statistically based component for the error between the measurements and the external predictor. The aim of the predictor study is twofold: it is a means of interpreting the connections between the alarm and the catastrophe, and it can be used to select suitable alarm levels. As an application, the performance of a water-level predictor as part of a flood warning system has been evaluated. The result of this analysis shows that an alarm system which operates when the predictor reaches a certain level will tend to give either too many alarms or alarms that are out of phase with the catastrophe.'' (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/1214782
- author
- Beckman, Stig-Inge
; Holst, Jan
LU
and Lindgren, Georg
LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 1990
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- flood warning system, modelling, alarm system, Prediction, performance evaluation, level crossing, extremes.
- in
- Journal of Time Series Analysis
- volume
- 11
- issue
- 1
- pages
- 1 - 18
- publisher
- Wiley-Blackwell
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:84981456229
- ISSN
- 0143-9782
- DOI
- 10.1111/j.1467-9892.1990.tb00038.x
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 14fe3f9e-8b1a-4be3-80a5-977305a934fa (old id 1214782)
- alternative location
- http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/fulltext/119844348/PDFSTART
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 11:50:50
- date last changed
- 2021-01-03 04:11:30
@article{14fe3f9e-8b1a-4be3-80a5-977305a934fa, abstract = {{A method for evaluating a predictor-based alarm system is studied in this paper. The predictor is composed of a deterministic component reflecting external information and a statistically based component for the error between the measurements and the external predictor. The aim of the predictor study is twofold: it is a means of interpreting the connections between the alarm and the catastrophe, and it can be used to select suitable alarm levels. As an application, the performance of a water-level predictor as part of a flood warning system has been evaluated. The result of this analysis shows that an alarm system which operates when the predictor reaches a certain level will tend to give either too many alarms or alarms that are out of phase with the catastrophe.''}}, author = {{Beckman, Stig-Inge and Holst, Jan and Lindgren, Georg}}, issn = {{0143-9782}}, keywords = {{flood warning system; modelling; alarm system; Prediction; performance evaluation; level crossing; extremes.}}, language = {{eng}}, number = {{1}}, pages = {{1--18}}, publisher = {{Wiley-Blackwell}}, series = {{Journal of Time Series Analysis}}, title = {{Alarm characteristics for a flood warning system with deterministic components}}, url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1990.tb00038.x}}, doi = {{10.1111/j.1467-9892.1990.tb00038.x}}, volume = {{11}}, year = {{1990}}, }