Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models
(2008) In Biology letters 4(5). p.556-559- Abstract
- The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water... (More)
- The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/1247080
- author
- Rickebusch, Sophie ; Thuiller, Wilfried ; Hickler, Thomas LU ; Araujo, Miguel B. ; Sykes, Martin LU ; Schweiger, Oliver and Lafourcade, Bruno
- organization
- publishing date
- 2008
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- ensemble forecasting, BIOMOD, soil water content, CO2 effect, habitat models, climate change
- in
- Biology letters
- volume
- 4
- issue
- 5
- pages
- 556 - 559
- publisher
- Royal Society Publishing
- external identifiers
-
- wos:000259085900033
- scopus:51549116563
- ISSN
- 1744-9561
- DOI
- 10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 6726955c-468c-4ad4-a460-f3edceb411ec (old id 1247080)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 11:35:28
- date last changed
- 2025-04-04 14:07:24
@article{6726955c-468c-4ad4-a460-f3edceb411ec, abstract = {{The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections.}}, author = {{Rickebusch, Sophie and Thuiller, Wilfried and Hickler, Thomas and Araujo, Miguel B. and Sykes, Martin and Schweiger, Oliver and Lafourcade, Bruno}}, issn = {{1744-9561}}, keywords = {{ensemble forecasting; BIOMOD; soil water content; CO2 effect; habitat models; climate change}}, language = {{eng}}, number = {{5}}, pages = {{556--559}}, publisher = {{Royal Society Publishing}}, series = {{Biology letters}}, title = {{Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models}}, url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105}}, doi = {{10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105}}, volume = {{4}}, year = {{2008}}, }