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Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models

Rickebusch, Sophie ; Thuiller, Wilfried ; Hickler, Thomas LU ; Araujo, Miguel B. ; Sykes, Martin LU ; Schweiger, Oliver and Lafourcade, Bruno (2008) In Biology letters 4(5). p.556-559
Abstract
The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water... (More)
The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections. (Less)
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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
ensemble forecasting, BIOMOD, soil water content, CO2 effect, habitat models, climate change
in
Biology letters
volume
4
issue
5
pages
556 - 559
publisher
Royal Society Publishing
external identifiers
  • wos:000259085900033
  • scopus:51549116563
ISSN
1744-9561
DOI
10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
6726955c-468c-4ad4-a460-f3edceb411ec (old id 1247080)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 11:35:28
date last changed
2025-04-04 14:07:24
@article{6726955c-468c-4ad4-a460-f3edceb411ec,
  abstract     = {{The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections.}},
  author       = {{Rickebusch, Sophie and Thuiller, Wilfried and Hickler, Thomas and Araujo, Miguel B. and Sykes, Martin and Schweiger, Oliver and Lafourcade, Bruno}},
  issn         = {{1744-9561}},
  keywords     = {{ensemble forecasting; BIOMOD; soil water content; CO2 effect; habitat models; climate change}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{556--559}},
  publisher    = {{Royal Society Publishing}},
  series       = {{Biology letters}},
  title        = {{Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105}},
  doi          = {{10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105}},
  volume       = {{4}},
  year         = {{2008}},
}