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Averaging bias in environmental impact estimates : Evidence from the negative footprint illusion

Holmgren, Mattias ; Andersson, Hanna LU orcid and Sörqvist, Patrik (2018) In Journal of Environmental Psychology 55. p.48-52
Abstract

In this paper we argue that unsustainable behaviors often stem from a common averaging bias when people estimate the environmental impact of a set of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects or actions. In Experiment 1, we show that people believe that the total carbon footprint of a category of items (a community of buildings in this case) is lower, rather than higher, when environmentally friendly (“green” buildings) items are added to the category, a negative footprint illusion. Experiment 2 showed that the carbon footprint estimate assigned to a category with a mix of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects (“green” and conventional buildings) is the average of its subsets (the “green” buildings and the... (More)

In this paper we argue that unsustainable behaviors often stem from a common averaging bias when people estimate the environmental impact of a set of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects or actions. In Experiment 1, we show that people believe that the total carbon footprint of a category of items (a community of buildings in this case) is lower, rather than higher, when environmentally friendly (“green” buildings) items are added to the category, a negative footprint illusion. Experiment 2 showed that the carbon footprint estimate assigned to a category with a mix of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects (“green” and conventional buildings) is the average of its subsets (the “green” buildings and the conventional buildings, respectively), an averaging bias. A similar averaging process may underpin estimates of the environmental impact of people's own actions, explaining why people believe that environmentally friendly actions can compensate for less friendly actions.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Averaging bias, Carbon footprint, The negative footprint illusion, “Green” buildings
in
Journal of Environmental Psychology
volume
55
pages
5 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85038968856
ISSN
0272-4944
DOI
10.1016/j.jenvp.2017.12.005
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2017 The Authors
id
1b51e3d3-100b-4978-b00b-8a85835a363a
date added to LUP
2023-12-05 17:13:33
date last changed
2023-12-07 11:29:03
@article{1b51e3d3-100b-4978-b00b-8a85835a363a,
  abstract     = {{<p>In this paper we argue that unsustainable behaviors often stem from a common averaging bias when people estimate the environmental impact of a set of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects or actions. In Experiment 1, we show that people believe that the total carbon footprint of a category of items (a community of buildings in this case) is lower, rather than higher, when environmentally friendly (“green” buildings) items are added to the category, a negative footprint illusion. Experiment 2 showed that the carbon footprint estimate assigned to a category with a mix of environmentally friendly and less friendly objects (“green” and conventional buildings) is the average of its subsets (the “green” buildings and the conventional buildings, respectively), an averaging bias. A similar averaging process may underpin estimates of the environmental impact of people's own actions, explaining why people believe that environmentally friendly actions can compensate for less friendly actions.</p>}},
  author       = {{Holmgren, Mattias and Andersson, Hanna and Sörqvist, Patrik}},
  issn         = {{0272-4944}},
  keywords     = {{Averaging bias; Carbon footprint; The negative footprint illusion; “Green” buildings}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{48--52}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Journal of Environmental Psychology}},
  title        = {{Averaging bias in environmental impact estimates : Evidence from the negative footprint illusion}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2017.12.005}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.jenvp.2017.12.005}},
  volume       = {{55}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}