Association of hypertension and diabetes with opioid initiation and progression to long-term use after osteoarthritis diagnosis : A population-based register cohort study in Sweden
(2026) In Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Open 8(4).- Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the associations of diabetes and/or hypertension with (i) initiating opioid therapy and (ii) progressing to long-term opioid use, after an osteoarthritis (OA) diagnosis.
METHODS: Population-based open cohort study using Swedish registers. We followed 48,778 opioid-naïve individuals, aged 35-75, with incident OA between 2008 and 2019 in the Skåne region. The associations of diabetes and hypertension with first opioid dispensation (ATC: N02A) and long-term opioid use (≥90 Defined Daily Doses in one year) were analysed using flexible parametric survival models. Associations were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and prior healthcare use.
RESULTS: At OA diagnosis, 26% of... (More)
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the associations of diabetes and/or hypertension with (i) initiating opioid therapy and (ii) progressing to long-term opioid use, after an osteoarthritis (OA) diagnosis.
METHODS: Population-based open cohort study using Swedish registers. We followed 48,778 opioid-naïve individuals, aged 35-75, with incident OA between 2008 and 2019 in the Skåne region. The associations of diabetes and hypertension with first opioid dispensation (ATC: N02A) and long-term opioid use (≥90 Defined Daily Doses in one year) were analysed using flexible parametric survival models. Associations were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and prior healthcare use.
RESULTS: At OA diagnosis, 26% of individuals had hypertension alone, 3% diabetes alone, and 6% both; 3% developed diabetes during follow-up time, 8% hypertension. Compared to metabolically healthy individuals, the risk of a first opioid dispensation was higher only for those with hypertension alone (RR: 1.16 [95% CI 1.12; 1.20]) and both conditions (RR: 1.15 [1.10; 1.21]). All metabolic conditions were associated with a higher risk of long-term opioid use: diabetes alone (RR: 1.63 [1.21; 2.20]), hypertension alone (RR: 1.32 [1.14; 1.52]), and both (RR: 1.69 [1.42; 2.02]). The instant risk peaked in the first year post-diagnosis, and the cumulative risk was highest in comorbid groups for both outcomes (47.5% and 4.6% with both conditions vs 39.0% and 2.5% with none).
CONCLUSION: After OA diagnosis, hypertension and/or diabetes were associated with an increased risk of initiating opioid therapy and progressing to long-term use. Our findings underscore the need to develop safer OA management strategies for individuals with comorbidities.
(Less)
- author
- Recenti, Filippo
LU
; Kiadaliri, Ali
LU
; Battista, Simone
LU
; Hellberg, Clara
LU
; Englund, Martin
LU
; Testa, Marco
and Dell'Isola, Andrea
LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2026-12
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Open
- volume
- 8
- issue
- 4
- article number
- 100860
- publisher
- Elsevier
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:105047971007
- pmid:42676841
- ISSN
- 2665-9131
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.ocarto.2026.100860
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- additional info
- © 2026 The Authors.
- id
- 1eeb3a31-342d-47bf-b0d8-9cd73953c763
- date added to LUP
- 2026-10-02 10:05:31
- date last changed
- 2026-10-03 04:01:55
@article{1eeb3a31-342d-47bf-b0d8-9cd73953c763,
abstract = {{<p>OBJECTIVE: To estimate the associations of diabetes and/or hypertension with (i) initiating opioid therapy and (ii) progressing to long-term opioid use, after an osteoarthritis (OA) diagnosis.</p><p>METHODS: Population-based open cohort study using Swedish registers. We followed 48,778 opioid-naïve individuals, aged 35-75, with incident OA between 2008 and 2019 in the Skåne region. The associations of diabetes and hypertension with first opioid dispensation (ATC: N02A) and long-term opioid use (≥90 Defined Daily Doses in one year) were analysed using flexible parametric survival models. Associations were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and prior healthcare use.</p><p>RESULTS: At OA diagnosis, 26% of individuals had hypertension alone, 3% diabetes alone, and 6% both; 3% developed diabetes during follow-up time, 8% hypertension. Compared to metabolically healthy individuals, the risk of a first opioid dispensation was higher only for those with hypertension alone (RR: 1.16 [95% CI 1.12; 1.20]) and both conditions (RR: 1.15 [1.10; 1.21]). All metabolic conditions were associated with a higher risk of long-term opioid use: diabetes alone (RR: 1.63 [1.21; 2.20]), hypertension alone (RR: 1.32 [1.14; 1.52]), and both (RR: 1.69 [1.42; 2.02]). The instant risk peaked in the first year post-diagnosis, and the cumulative risk was highest in comorbid groups for both outcomes (47.5% and 4.6% with both conditions vs 39.0% and 2.5% with none).</p><p>CONCLUSION: After OA diagnosis, hypertension and/or diabetes were associated with an increased risk of initiating opioid therapy and progressing to long-term use. Our findings underscore the need to develop safer OA management strategies for individuals with comorbidities.</p>}},
author = {{Recenti, Filippo and Kiadaliri, Ali and Battista, Simone and Hellberg, Clara and Englund, Martin and Testa, Marco and Dell'Isola, Andrea}},
issn = {{2665-9131}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{4}},
publisher = {{Elsevier}},
series = {{Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Open}},
title = {{Association of hypertension and diabetes with opioid initiation and progression to long-term use after osteoarthritis diagnosis : A population-based register cohort study in Sweden}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocarto.2026.100860}},
doi = {{10.1016/j.ocarto.2026.100860}},
volume = {{8}},
year = {{2026}},
}