Assessment of risk reduction strategies for terrorist attacks on structures
(2023) In Structural Safety 104.- Abstract
Attacks on infrastructure have been a common feature of terrorism over many decades. The weapon of choice is often a Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED) or a person-borne or other type of IED. The consequences of a successful attack in terms of casualties, physical damage, and other direct and indirect costs including societal costs can be catastrophic. Protectives and other risk reduction measures can ameliorate the threat likelihood, vulnerability or consequences. There is a need for a rational approach to deciding how best to protect infrastructure, and what not to protect. Hence, this paper describes a probabilistic risk assessment for the protection of infrastructure from explosive attacks. This includes a description... (More)
Attacks on infrastructure have been a common feature of terrorism over many decades. The weapon of choice is often a Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED) or a person-borne or other type of IED. The consequences of a successful attack in terms of casualties, physical damage, and other direct and indirect costs including societal costs can be catastrophic. Protectives and other risk reduction measures can ameliorate the threat likelihood, vulnerability or consequences. There is a need for a rational approach to deciding how best to protect infrastructure, and what not to protect. Hence, this paper describes a probabilistic risk assessment for the protection of infrastructure from explosive attacks. This includes a description of terrorist threats and hazards, vulnerability assessment including progressive or disproportionate collapse, and consequences assessment. Illustrative examples of the decision analysis consider the optimal risk reduction and design strategies for bridges and the progressive collapse of buildings.
(Less)
- author
- Stewart, Mark G. ; Thöns, Sebastian LU and Beck, André T.
- organization
- publishing date
- 2023
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Decision analysis, Explosives, Infrastructure, Reliability, Risk, Terrorism
- in
- Structural Safety
- volume
- 104
- article number
- 102353
- publisher
- Elsevier
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85160528543
- ISSN
- 0167-4730
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.strusafe.2023.102353
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 20965ef0-1524-4178-a183-2d2a05251f13
- date added to LUP
- 2023-08-15 14:32:25
- date last changed
- 2023-11-08 08:47:42
@article{20965ef0-1524-4178-a183-2d2a05251f13,
abstract = {{<p>Attacks on infrastructure have been a common feature of terrorism over many decades. The weapon of choice is often a Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED) or a person-borne or other type of IED. The consequences of a successful attack in terms of casualties, physical damage, and other direct and indirect costs including societal costs can be catastrophic. Protectives and other risk reduction measures can ameliorate the threat likelihood, vulnerability or consequences. There is a need for a rational approach to deciding how best to protect infrastructure, and what not to protect. Hence, this paper describes a probabilistic risk assessment for the protection of infrastructure from explosive attacks. This includes a description of terrorist threats and hazards, vulnerability assessment including progressive or disproportionate collapse, and consequences assessment. Illustrative examples of the decision analysis consider the optimal risk reduction and design strategies for bridges and the progressive collapse of buildings.</p>}},
author = {{Stewart, Mark G. and Thöns, Sebastian and Beck, André T.}},
issn = {{0167-4730}},
keywords = {{Decision analysis; Explosives; Infrastructure; Reliability; Risk; Terrorism}},
language = {{eng}},
publisher = {{Elsevier}},
series = {{Structural Safety}},
title = {{Assessment of risk reduction strategies for terrorist attacks on structures}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2023.102353}},
doi = {{10.1016/j.strusafe.2023.102353}},
volume = {{104}},
year = {{2023}},
}