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Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

Schroter, D; Cramer, W; Leemans, R; Prentice, IC; Araujo, MB; Arnell, NW; Bondeau, A; Bugmann, H; Carter, TR and Gracia, CA, et al. (2005) In Science 310(5752). p.1333-1337
Abstract
Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water... (More)
Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions. (Less)
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Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Science
volume
310
issue
5752
pages
1333 - 1337
publisher
The American Association for the Advancement of Science
external identifiers
  • wos:000233600200043
  • scopus:28144447574
ISSN
1095-9203
DOI
10.1126/science.1115233
language
English
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yes
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6ee718f0-8089-4618-b89e-7fe000d6713e (old id 211979)
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http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/reprint/310/5752/1333.pdf
date added to LUP
2007-08-13 08:42:21
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2017-11-19 04:08:50
@article{6ee718f0-8089-4618-b89e-7fe000d6713e,
  abstract     = {Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.},
  author       = {Schroter, D and Cramer, W and Leemans, R and Prentice, IC and Araujo, MB and Arnell, NW and Bondeau, A and Bugmann, H and Carter, TR and Gracia, CA and de la Vega-Leinert, AC and Erhard, M and Ewert, F and Glendining, M and House, JI and Kankaanpaa, S and Klein, RJT and Lavorel, S and Lindner, M and Metzger, MJ and Meyer, J and Mitchell, TD and Reginster, I and Rounsevell, M and Sabate, S and Sitch, S and Smith, B and Smith, J and Smith, P and Sykes, Martin and Thonicke, K and Thuiller, W and Tuck, G and Zaehle, S and Zierl, B},
  issn         = {1095-9203},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {5752},
  pages        = {1333--1337},
  publisher    = {The American Association for the Advancement of Science},
  series       = {Science},
  title        = {Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1115233},
  volume       = {310},
  year         = {2005},
}