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Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c

Zhou, B. ; Giwercman, A. LU and Ezzati, Majid (2023) In Nature Medicine 29(11). p.2885-2901
Abstract
Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG, HbA1c or both. We developed prediction equations for estimating the probability that a person without previously diagnosed diabetes, and at a specific level of FPG, had elevated HbA1c, and vice versa. The age-standardized proportion of diabetes that was previously undiagnosed and detected in survey screening ranged from 30% in the... (More)
Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG, HbA1c or both. We developed prediction equations for estimating the probability that a person without previously diagnosed diabetes, and at a specific level of FPG, had elevated HbA1c, and vice versa. The age-standardized proportion of diabetes that was previously undiagnosed and detected in survey screening ranged from 30% in the high-income western region to 66% in south Asia. Among those with screen-detected diabetes with either test, the age-standardized proportion who had elevated levels of both FPG and HbA1c was 29–39% across regions; the remainder had discordant elevation of FPG or HbA1c. In most low- and middle-income regions, isolated elevated HbA1c was more common than isolated elevated FPG. In these regions, the use of FPG alone may delay diabetes diagnosis and underestimate diabetes prevalence. Our prediction equations help allocate finite resources for measuring HbA1c to reduce the global shortfall in diabetes diagnosis and surveillance. © 2023, The Author(s). (Less)
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author
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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Blood Glucose, Diabetes Mellitus, Fasting, Glucose, Glycated Hemoglobin, Humans, Prevalence, glucose, glycated hemoglobin, diabetes mellitus, fasting, glucose blood level, human, prevalence
in
Nature Medicine
volume
29
issue
11
pages
17 pages
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:85176735771
  • pmid:37946056
ISSN
1078-8956
DOI
10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
223cd9a3-f437-412c-9120-8c1a7d4f7e7b
date added to LUP
2024-01-16 14:36:55
date last changed
2024-01-17 03:00:56
@article{223cd9a3-f437-412c-9120-8c1a7d4f7e7b,
  abstract     = {{Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG, HbA1c or both. We developed prediction equations for estimating the probability that a person without previously diagnosed diabetes, and at a specific level of FPG, had elevated HbA1c, and vice versa. The age-standardized proportion of diabetes that was previously undiagnosed and detected in survey screening ranged from 30% in the high-income western region to 66% in south Asia. Among those with screen-detected diabetes with either test, the age-standardized proportion who had elevated levels of both FPG and HbA1c was 29–39% across regions; the remainder had discordant elevation of FPG or HbA1c. In most low- and middle-income regions, isolated elevated HbA1c was more common than isolated elevated FPG. In these regions, the use of FPG alone may delay diabetes diagnosis and underestimate diabetes prevalence. Our prediction equations help allocate finite resources for measuring HbA1c to reduce the global shortfall in diabetes diagnosis and surveillance. © 2023, The Author(s).}},
  author       = {{Zhou, B. and Giwercman, A. and Ezzati, Majid}},
  issn         = {{1078-8956}},
  keywords     = {{Blood Glucose; Diabetes Mellitus; Fasting; Glucose; Glycated Hemoglobin; Humans; Prevalence; glucose; glycated hemoglobin; diabetes mellitus; fasting; glucose blood level; human; prevalence}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{11}},
  pages        = {{2885--2901}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Nature Medicine}},
  title        = {{Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2}},
  volume       = {{29}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}