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The missing link: bringing institutions and politics into energy future studies

Nilsson, Måns; Nilsson, Lars J LU ; Hildingsson, Roger LU ; Stripple, Johannes LU and Eikeland, Per Ove (2011) In Futures 43(10). p.1117-1128
Abstract (Swedish)
Abstract in Undetermined

Energy future studies can be a useful tool for learning about how to induce and manage technical, economic and policy change related to energy supply and use. The private sector has successfully deployed them for strategic planning, examining key parameters such as markets, competition and consumer trends. However in public policy, most energy future studies remain disconnected from policy making. One reason is that they often ignore the key political and institutional factors that underpin much of the anticipated, wished-for or otherwise explored energy systems developments. Still, we know that institutions and politics are critical enablers or constraints to technical and policy change. This paper... (More)
Abstract in Undetermined

Energy future studies can be a useful tool for learning about how to induce and manage technical, economic and policy change related to energy supply and use. The private sector has successfully deployed them for strategic planning, examining key parameters such as markets, competition and consumer trends. However in public policy, most energy future studies remain disconnected from policy making. One reason is that they often ignore the key political and institutional factors that underpin much of the anticipated, wished-for or otherwise explored energy systems developments. Still, we know that institutions and politics are critical enablers or constraints to technical and policy change. This paper examines how analytical insights into political and institutional dynamics can enhance energy future studies. It develops an approach that combines systems-technical change scenarios with political and institutional analysis. Using the example of a backcasting study dealing with the long term low-carbon transformation of a national energy system, it applies two levels of institutional and political analysis; at the level of international regimes and at the level of sectoral policy, and examines how future systems changes and policy paths are conditioned by institutional change processes. It finds that the systematic application of these variables significantly enhances and renders more useful backcasting studies of energy futures. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. (Less)
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Systems, Backcasting, Institutions, Sweden, Climate, Governance
in
Futures
volume
43
issue
10
pages
1117 - 1128
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • wos:000297037000008
  • scopus:80052927005
ISSN
0016-3287
DOI
10.1016/j.futures.2011.07.010
project
BECC
ADAM - ADaptation And Mitigation Strategies supporting European climate policy
Governing transitions towards Low-Carbon Energy and Transport Systems for 2050
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
7bd9c1ac-5510-42da-975e-9279af3c796a (old id 2261262)
date added to LUP
2011-12-22 08:57:53
date last changed
2017-10-01 04:24:50
@article{7bd9c1ac-5510-42da-975e-9279af3c796a,
  abstract     = {<b>Abstract in Undetermined</b><br/><br>
Energy future studies can be a useful tool for learning about how to induce and manage technical, economic and policy change related to energy supply and use. The private sector has successfully deployed them for strategic planning, examining key parameters such as markets, competition and consumer trends. However in public policy, most energy future studies remain disconnected from policy making. One reason is that they often ignore the key political and institutional factors that underpin much of the anticipated, wished-for or otherwise explored energy systems developments. Still, we know that institutions and politics are critical enablers or constraints to technical and policy change. This paper examines how analytical insights into political and institutional dynamics can enhance energy future studies. It develops an approach that combines systems-technical change scenarios with political and institutional analysis. Using the example of a backcasting study dealing with the long term low-carbon transformation of a national energy system, it applies two levels of institutional and political analysis; at the level of international regimes and at the level of sectoral policy, and examines how future systems changes and policy paths are conditioned by institutional change processes. It finds that the systematic application of these variables significantly enhances and renders more useful backcasting studies of energy futures. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.},
  author       = {Nilsson, Måns and Nilsson, Lars J and Hildingsson, Roger and Stripple, Johannes and Eikeland, Per Ove},
  issn         = {0016-3287},
  keyword      = {Systems,Backcasting,Institutions,Sweden,Climate,Governance},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {10},
  pages        = {1117--1128},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  series       = {Futures},
  title        = {The missing link: bringing institutions and politics into energy future studies},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2011.07.010},
  volume       = {43},
  year         = {2011},
}