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Modeling of the Effect of Alcohol on Episode Patterns in Atrial Fibrillation

Plusciauskaite, Vilma ; Rapalis, Andrius ; Butkuviene, Monika ; Marozas, Vaidotas ; Sornmo, Leif LU and Petrenas, Andrius (2022) 2022 Computing in Cardiology, CinC 2022 In Computing in Cardiology 2022-September.
Abstract

Growing evidence shows that alcohol triggers paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) in some patients. How-ever, there is a lack of methods for assessing the causality between triggers and atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes. Accordingly, this work aims to develop an approach to episode modeling under the influence of alcohol for the purpose of evaluating causality assessment methods. The alternating, bivariate Hawkes model is used to produce episode patterns, where the conditional intensity function λ1(t) defines the transitions from sinus rhythm (SR) to AF. The effect of alcohol consumption is characterized by a body reactivity function, defined by the base intensity μ1(t), which alters λ1(t). Different AF episode patterns were modeled for... (More)

Growing evidence shows that alcohol triggers paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) in some patients. How-ever, there is a lack of methods for assessing the causality between triggers and atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes. Accordingly, this work aims to develop an approach to episode modeling under the influence of alcohol for the purpose of evaluating causality assessment methods. The alternating, bivariate Hawkes model is used to produce episode patterns, where the conditional intensity function λ1(t) defines the transitions from sinus rhythm (SR) to AF. The effect of alcohol consumption is characterized by a body reactivity function, defined by the base intensity μ1(t), which alters λ1(t). Different AF episode patterns were modeled for alcohol units ranging from 0 to 15. The mean AF burden without alcohol was 17.2%, which doubled with 9 alcohol units; the number of AF episodes doubled from 12.9 with 8 alcohol units. The aggregation of AF episodes tended to decrease after 6 alcohol units. The proposed model of alcohol-affected PAF patterns may be useful for assessing the methods for evaluation of causality between triggers and PAF occurrence.

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author
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organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
2022 Computing in Cardiology, CinC 2022
series title
Computing in Cardiology
volume
2022-September
publisher
IEEE Computer Society
conference name
2022 Computing in Cardiology, CinC 2022
conference location
Tampere, Finland
conference dates
2022-09-04 - 2022-09-07
external identifiers
  • scopus:85152921097
ISSN
2325-887X
2325-8861
ISBN
9798350300970
DOI
10.22489/CinC.2022.150
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
2604ca87-de99-4921-a0b4-a6776adc9f7d
date added to LUP
2023-07-21 14:37:24
date last changed
2024-04-19 23:54:06
@inproceedings{2604ca87-de99-4921-a0b4-a6776adc9f7d,
  abstract     = {{<p>Growing evidence shows that alcohol triggers paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) in some patients. How-ever, there is a lack of methods for assessing the causality between triggers and atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes. Accordingly, this work aims to develop an approach to episode modeling under the influence of alcohol for the purpose of evaluating causality assessment methods. The alternating, bivariate Hawkes model is used to produce episode patterns, where the conditional intensity function λ1(t) defines the transitions from sinus rhythm (SR) to AF. The effect of alcohol consumption is characterized by a body reactivity function, defined by the base intensity μ1(t), which alters λ1(t). Different AF episode patterns were modeled for alcohol units ranging from 0 to 15. The mean AF burden without alcohol was 17.2%, which doubled with 9 alcohol units; the number of AF episodes doubled from 12.9 with 8 alcohol units. The aggregation of AF episodes tended to decrease after 6 alcohol units. The proposed model of alcohol-affected PAF patterns may be useful for assessing the methods for evaluation of causality between triggers and PAF occurrence.</p>}},
  author       = {{Plusciauskaite, Vilma and Rapalis, Andrius and Butkuviene, Monika and Marozas, Vaidotas and Sornmo, Leif and Petrenas, Andrius}},
  booktitle    = {{2022 Computing in Cardiology, CinC 2022}},
  isbn         = {{9798350300970}},
  issn         = {{2325-887X}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{IEEE Computer Society}},
  series       = {{Computing in Cardiology}},
  title        = {{Modeling of the Effect of Alcohol on Episode Patterns in Atrial Fibrillation}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.22489/CinC.2022.150}},
  doi          = {{10.22489/CinC.2022.150}},
  volume       = {{2022-September}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}