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Assessing the future competitiveness of alternative powertrains

Åhman, Max LU (2003) In International Journal of Vehicle Design 33(4). p.309-331
Abstract
Vehicle technology is currently facing a transition period in which vehicles equipped with alternative powertrains, such as battery powered electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles or fuel cell vehicles, are being developed for future markets. An assessment of the competitiveness of vehicles using alternative powertrains has been made here. Previous studies estimating future costs and the technical performance of crucial powertrain components have been analyzed regarding both the results and the methods used. Contradictory results concerning future costs and performance in previous studies stem from the fact that they have used different methods and assumptions that answer different questions and reflect different levels of technical optimism.... (More)
Vehicle technology is currently facing a transition period in which vehicles equipped with alternative powertrains, such as battery powered electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles or fuel cell vehicles, are being developed for future markets. An assessment of the competitiveness of vehicles using alternative powertrains has been made here. Previous studies estimating future costs and the technical performance of crucial powertrain components have been analyzed regarding both the results and the methods used. Contradictory results concerning future costs and performance in previous studies stem from the fact that they have used different methods and assumptions that answer different questions and reflect different levels of technical optimism. This assessment indicates that it is possible for all alternatives to attain both technical and economic competitiveness. However, the uncertainty and time scale associated with the alternatives differ substantially. Policy makers need not attempt to 'pick winners' from the alternative powertrains since demand-pull policy can be designed to benefit all alternatives and to be sensitive to the varying development status of key technologies. (Less)
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
electric vehicle, FCEV, HEV, alternative powertrains, BPEV, cost assessment, cost, vehicle
in
International Journal of Vehicle Design
volume
33
issue
4
pages
309 - 331
publisher
Inderscience
external identifiers
  • wos:000186506000001
  • scopus:0345412618
ISSN
1741-5314
DOI
10.1504/IJVD.2003.003582
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
9cb2e247-5402-40d3-8e3e-a2d92cb8a774 (old id 296080)
date added to LUP
2007-08-02 09:50:43
date last changed
2018-05-29 11:47:54
@article{9cb2e247-5402-40d3-8e3e-a2d92cb8a774,
  abstract     = {Vehicle technology is currently facing a transition period in which vehicles equipped with alternative powertrains, such as battery powered electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles or fuel cell vehicles, are being developed for future markets. An assessment of the competitiveness of vehicles using alternative powertrains has been made here. Previous studies estimating future costs and the technical performance of crucial powertrain components have been analyzed regarding both the results and the methods used. Contradictory results concerning future costs and performance in previous studies stem from the fact that they have used different methods and assumptions that answer different questions and reflect different levels of technical optimism. This assessment indicates that it is possible for all alternatives to attain both technical and economic competitiveness. However, the uncertainty and time scale associated with the alternatives differ substantially. Policy makers need not attempt to 'pick winners' from the alternative powertrains since demand-pull policy can be designed to benefit all alternatives and to be sensitive to the varying development status of key technologies.},
  author       = {Åhman, Max},
  issn         = {1741-5314},
  keyword      = {electric vehicle,FCEV,HEV,alternative powertrains,BPEV,cost assessment,cost,vehicle},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {309--331},
  publisher    = {Inderscience},
  series       = {International Journal of Vehicle Design},
  title        = {Assessing the future competitiveness of alternative powertrains},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJVD.2003.003582},
  volume       = {33},
  year         = {2003},
}